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Alabama vs Tennessee Prediction 2/28/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Alabama Crimson Tide | Tennessee Volunteers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 21-7 | 20-8 |
| Spread | +4.5 -105 | -4.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | +180 | -218 |
| Total | Over 164.5 (-112) | Under 164.5 (-108) |
| Where | Food City Center, Knoxville, TN | |
| When | Saturday, February 28, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview
The Alabama Crimson Tide beat Mississippi State and LSU, and they play Georgia next. Alabama has won 7 straight games.
The Alabama Crimson Tide is averaging 92.7 points on 45.9 percent shooting and allowing 83.9 points on 43 percent shooting. Labaron Philon Jr. is averaging 21.3 points and 3.3 rebounds, while Aden Holloway is averaging 16.9 points and 4.1 assists. Latrell Wrightsell is the third double-digit scorer, and Amari Allen is grabbing 7.5 rebounds. The Alabama Crimson Tide are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 76.4 percent from the free throw line. The Alabama Crimson Tide is allowing 32.8 percent shooting from deep and is grabbing 37.4 rebounds per game.
Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview
The Tennessee Volunteers beat Vanderbilt and lost to Missouri, and they play South Carolina next. Tennessee has won 8 of its last 10 games.
The Tennessee Volunteers are averaging 80.5 points on 46.8 percent shooting and allowing 69.1 points on 40.8 percent shooting. Ja’Kobi Gillespie is averaging 18.1 points and 2.9 rebounds, while Nate Ament is averaging 17.9 points and 2.5 assists. JP Estrella is dishing out 0.7 assists and Jaylen Carey is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Tennessee Volunteers are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 69.6 percent from the free throw line. The Tennessee Volunteers are allowing 30.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win
- Tennessee has won each of its last 11 February home games as an AP-ranked team.
- Alabama has lost four of its last five games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Alabama has lost the first half in four of its last five February night games as an AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win
- Alabama has won each of its last seven games against conference opponents.
- Tennessee has lost three of its last four games as an AP-ranked team.
Total Points: Facts
- Twenty-three of Tennessee’s last 24 games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 163 or fewer points.
- Each of Alabama’s last eight road night games against conference opponents has produced a total of 166+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Tennessee ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (42.8).
- Tennessee is one of only six teams to reach the Sweet 16 in each of its last three NCAA Tournament appearances.
- Alabama ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (35.9).
- Alabama ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (69.1).
Alabama vs Tennessee Prediction
Tennessee is favored at home, where it’s lost just once, but the value is with Alabama and the points. Alabama has hung with the big boys all season and has the offense to win anywhere. This is also a revenge spot after Tennessee won last month as 3.5-point underdogs. Alabama has six road wins and has scored 90 or more points in seven of its last nine games. If Alabama is hitting shots, the Vols could be in trouble. Give me the points with the tide.
Randy Chambers's Pick: Alabama +4.5
