Jan 10, 2026; Lexington, Kentucky, USA; Mississippi State Bulldogs guard Josh Hubbard (12) runs down the court after making a three point basket during the first half against the Kentucky Wildcats at Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center. Mandatory Credit: Jordan Prather-Imagn Images
Jordan Prather-Imagn Images

Alabama vs Mississippi State Prediction 1/13/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Alabama Crimson Tide Mississippi State Bulldogs
Team Records 11-5 10-6
Spread -4.5 -108 +4.5 -112
Moneyline -205 +170
Total Over 173.5 (-115) Under 173.5 (-105)
Where Humphrey Coliseum, Starkville, MS
When Tuesday, January 13, 2026
Time 09:00 PM EST
TV SEC Network

The Alabama Crimson Tide and Mississippi State Bulldogs meet Tuesday in the college basketball action at the Humphrey Coliseum. Here’s a Alabama vs Mississippi State Prediction. This article will include a Alabama vs Mississippi State Pick.

Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview

The Alabama Crimson Tide lost to Vanderbilt and Texas, and they play Oklahoma next. Alabama has won 8 of its last 11 games.

The Alabama Crimson Tide are averaging 93.5 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 82.8 points on 42.3 percent shooting. Labaron Philon Jr. is averaging 21.3 points and 3.3 rebounds, while Aden Holloway is averaging 18.6 points and 3.8 assists. Amari Allen is the third double-digit scorer and Latrell Wrightsell is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The Alabama Crimson Tide are shooting 35.3 percent from beyond the arc and 75.7 percent from the free throw line. The Alabama Crimson Tide are allowing 32.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.5 rebounds per game.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs beat Oklahoma, lost to Kentucky, and they play Ole Miss next. Mississippi State has won 8 of its last 11 games.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are averaging 80 points on 45.6 percent shooting and allowing 76.8 points on 42 percent shooting. Josh Hubbard is averaging 22.8 points and 3.8 assists, while Jayden Epps is averaging 15.8 points and 2.3 rebounds. Quincy Ballard is grabbing 6.9 rebounds and Ja’Borri McGhee is dishing 1.6 assists. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are shooting 31.3 percent from beyond the arc and 69.6 percent from the free throw line. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are allowing 30.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

  • Mississippi State has won each of its last four home games.
  • Alabama has lost three of its last four games against the Southeastern Conference.

Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win

  • Alabama has won each of its last eight games against Mississippi State.
  • Mississippi State has lost each of its last three games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Mississippi State has lost the first half in each of its last four games against AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Mississippi State’s last 10 night games at Humphrey Coliseum have produced a total of 172 or fewer points.
  • Nine of Alabama’s last 10 night games have produced a total of 174+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Alabama ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (68.1).
  • Alabama ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (67.9).

Alabama vs Mississippi State Prediction

I’m not sure if I want anything to do with either side after what we just saw. Alabama lost to Texas as a double-digit favorite, and Mississippi State got rocked by a subpar at best Kentucky team. It will be interesting to see which team can get off the canvas. I considered the points with Mississippi State at home, but Alabama has shown us more over the course of the season. Alabama also has more scoring options, while Mississippi State is often Hubbard or die. If Alabama hits shots early, this has the potential to get away from the Bulldogs. I’ll lay the chalk with the road team.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Alabama -5.5

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