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Incarnate Word vs Northwestern State Prediction 3/3/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Northwestern State (14-15) vs Incarnate Word (16-14)

March 3, 2025 at 07:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Northwestern State -1.5 — Over/Under: 133.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Incarnate Word Cardinals and the Northwestern State Demons meet Monday in college basketball action from the Prather Coliseum. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Incarnate Word vs. Northwestern State prediction.

Matchup History

The Northwestern State Demons won the first meeting between these two teams at Incarnate Word by a final score of 72-70 back on December 5th, 2024. The win was Northwestern State’s 9th straight head-to-head against Incarnate Word and third straight outright as underdogs.

Incarnate Word Recap

The Incarnate Word Cardinals come into this game looking to add to their 75-68 win over East Texas A&M last time out to sit at 16-14 on the year.

Cardinals Win 4th In A Row

Davion Bailey leads the Cardinals in scoring with 16.8 PPG along with 3 RPG while Dylan Hayman has 14.2 PPG and 5.1 RPG as well on the year. Jalin Anderson has 14.5 PPG with a team-high 5 APG to lead the Cardinals in the assist department along with 3.2 RPG as well while Jordan Pyke has added 10.3 PPG with 5.1 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Incarnate Word so far this season as Incarnate Word’s leading rebounder. As a team, Incarnate Word is averaging 73.6 PPG on 47.2% shooting from the field, 38.4% from three, and 67.8% from the foul line this season.

Why the Incarnate Word Cardinals will win

  • Northwestern State has lost each of its last eight night games following a home win.
  • Incarnate Word has won each of its last four games.

Northwestern State Recap

The Northwestern State Demons come into this game looking to add on to their 61-56 win over Houston Christian last time out to sit at 14-15 on the year.

Demons Win Three In A Row

Addison Patterson leads the Demons in scoring and assists with 13.1 PPG and 3.2 APG along with 5.6 RPG while Micah Thomas has 11.8 PPG to cap off the pair of double-digit scorers for Northwestern State while Jon Sanders has 8.6 PPG with 2.2 RPG and 2 APG and Willie Williams has added 6.5 PPG and a team-high 7.4 RPG to lead the Demons on the glass as well this season. As a team, Northwestern State is averaging 69.1 PPG on 43.9% shooting from the field, 34.6% from behind the arc, and 70.9% from the foul line this season.

Why the Northwestern State Demons will win

  • Northwestern State has won each of its last nine games against Incarnate Word.
  • Incarnate Word has lost 10 of its last 12 road night games against the Southland Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the last 10 games between Incarnate Word and Northwestern State has produced a total of 135+ points.
  • Each of Incarnate Word’s last five road night games against Conference opponents has produced a total of 132 or fewer points.

Incarnate Word vs. Northwestern State Prediction

I’m leaning toward Northwestern State here. I just think this is going to be a fairly competitive matchup, but at a certain point, maybe you just have to admit that one team has another team’s number and I think that’s what Northwestern State has on Incarnate Word here. The Demons have been in fine form as of late and I think that Northwestern State gets the job done at home in this one. Give me Northwestern State.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Northwestern State -1.5

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