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Michigan State vs Maryland Prediction 2/26/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Maryland (21-6) vs Michigan State (22-5)

Game Info: Wednesday, February 26, 2025 at 6:30 pm (XFINITY Center)

The Line: Betting Odds: Maryland -3.5 — Over/Under: 150.5

(Get latest betting odds)


The Michigan State Spartans and the Maryland Terrapins meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the XFINITY Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Michigan State vs. Maryland prediction.

Matchup History

These two teams have not met this season as of yet, but last year, on February 3rd, 2024, Michigan State won at home by a final score of 63-54 to make it six straight wins against Maryland with five straight ATS covers as well.

Michigan State Recap

The Michigan State Spartans come into this game looking to build on their 75-62 win over Michigan last time out to improve to 22-5 on the year. After this game, Michigan State will head home for a big matchup with the Wisconsin Badgers.

Spartans Win Three In A Row

Jaden Akins leads the Spartans in scoring with 13 PPG along with 3.6 RPG while Jase Richardson’s posted 10.8 PPG with 2.7 RPG as the only other double-digit scorer for Michigan State so far this year. Frankie Fidler has 7.5 PPG and 3.4 RPG and Jaxon Kohler has 8 PPG with 7.6 RPG to lead the Spartans on the glass. Coen Carr has 8.1 PPG with 3.4 RPG and Jeremy Fears Jr. has dished out a team-high 5.8 APG as well on the year. As a team, Michigan State is averaging 79 PPG on 47% shooting from the field, 29.6% from three, and 79.9% from the foul line this season.

Why the Michigan State Spartans will win

  • Michigan State has won each of its last 14 Wednesday games against the Big Ten Conference.
  • Maryland has lost 21 of its last 24 games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.

Maryland Recap

The Maryland Terrapins come into this game looking to build on an 88-71 win over USC last time out to improve to 21-6 on the year. After this game, Maryland will head on the road for a game against Penn State.

Terrapins Win 4 Straight & 8 Of Last 9

Derik Queen leads the Terps in scoring with 15.9 PPG along with 9.1 RPG while Ja’Kobi Gillespie has 14.9 PPG with a team-high 4.8 APG to lead the Terrapins in the assist department. Rodney Rice has 13.7 PPG and Selton Miguel has 11.9 PPG, while Julian Reese has 14 PPG with a team-high 9.3 RPG to lead the Terrapins on the glass and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Maryland so far this season. As a team, Maryland is averaging 83.7 PPG on 48.8% shooting from the field, 37.5% from three, and 74.7% from the foul line this season.

Why the Maryland Terrapins will win

  • Maryland has won each of its last 13 games at XFINITY Center.
  • Michigan State has lost eight of its last 10 night games against AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the last 12 games between Michigan State and Maryland has produced a total of 148 or fewer points.
  • Each of Michigan State’s last six night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.

Michigan State vs. Maryland Prediction

I’m on Maryland in this game. I get the case to be made for Michigan State here as the Spartans still have been playing some of the best basketball in the country. However, Maryland’s rolling in their own right, and the Terrapins have been one of the better home teams in the country as well this season. I think Maryland has the size in the frontcourt with Queen and Reese to battle the Spartans up front and I think Maryland gets the job done at home in this game. Give me Maryland in this game.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Maryland -3.5

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