New Mexico vs San Diego State Prediction 2/25/25 College Basketball Picks

The New Mexico Lobos are visiting the San Diego State Aztecs on Tuesday, February 25th at the Viejas Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New Mexico Lobos vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction. We will examine:

The San Diego State Aztecs’ recent form and player performance

The New Mexico Lobos’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Diego State Aztecs

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New Mexico Lobos

Recent betting trends in games played between the New Mexico Lobos and San Diego State Aztecs

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the New Mexico Lobos vs San Diego State Aztecs game

San Diego State Aztecs Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs have an 18-7 record this season and are sitting in 4th place in the Mountain West. San Diego State is coming off a 71-79 loss to Utah State. The Aztecs are 10-14 against the spread, and 11-12-1 in over/under, while having a 10-3 home record. 

Offensively, San Diego State is averaging 71.3 points per game, which ranks 262nd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 63.1 points per game, which is the 13th-best in the nation. The Aztecs shoot 44.1% from the field (225th) and 33.3% from beyond the arc (226th). The Aztecs shoot 68.4% from the free-throw line (298th) and are grabbing 36.5 rebounds per game (118th).

Nick Boyd leads San Diego State in scoring with an average of 12.8 points, 3.9 rebounds, and a team-high 3.9 assists per game, while Myles Bird adds 12.7 points and 4.1 rebounds per game. San Diego State will face Wyoming following this one.

New Mexico Lobos Preview

The New Mexico Lobos have a 22-5 record this season and are sitting in first place in the Mountain West. New Mexico is coming off a 78-86 loss to Boise State. The Lobos are 13-13 against the spread, and 13-13 in over/under, while having a 6-3 road record.

Offensively, New Mexico is averaging 83 points per game, which is the 19th-best in the nation. Defensively, they allow 71.6 points per game (176th). The Lobos shoot 46.5% from the field (94th) and 35.5% from beyond the arc (93rd). The Lobos shoot 68.8% from the free-throw line (288th) and are grabbing 40 rebounds per game (16th).

Donovan Dent leads New Mexico in scoring with an average of 19.6 points and a team-high 6.5 assists, while Nelly Junior Joseph adds 13.8 points and a team-high 10.6 rebounds per game. New Mexico will meet Air Force after this game.

Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

• San Diego State has won 26 of its last 27 night games at Viejas Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• New Mexico has lost six of its last seven night games at Viejas Arena.
• The home team has won the first half in each of San Diego State’s last six games.

Why the New Mexico Lobos will win

• New Mexico has won 18 of its last 20 games against the Mountain West Conference.
• New Mexico has won the first half in five of its last six games against San Diego State.

Total Points Facts

• Four of New Mexico’s last five night games against the Mountain West Conference have produced a total of 145+ points.
• Four of San Diego State’s last five night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Viejas Arena have produced a total of 139 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• San Diego State ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (37.3%).
• San Diego State ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (20.6).
• New Mexico ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (65.8%).
• New Mexico ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (73.6).

New Mexico Lobos vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction

New Mexico is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against San Diego State and is 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 meetings. Under is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, New Mexico won 62-48 at home, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total.

In this New Mexico Lobos vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, San Diego State is coming as a -2.5 home favorites. New Mexico should be favored in this spot, as they have a better record this season, and have been very good on the road, while San Diego State has also been extremely good at home. Both teams are coming in very good form, as the Aztecs are 7-2 in their last 9 games and the Lobos 8-1 in their last 9. Both teams have been involved in some higher-scoring games lately, as they are 5-1 to the over in their last 6 games combined. With the Lobos boasting a top-20 offense in the nation, I expect a high-scoring affair, so take the over.