Murray State vs Valparaiso Prediction 2/8/25 College Basketball Picks

The Murray State Racers and the Valparaiso Beacons meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Athletics-Recreation Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Murray State vs. Valparaiso prediction.

Murray State Recap

The Murray State Racers come into this game looking to bounce back after a 55-45 loss at the hands of Drake in their last matchup to sit at 11-13 on the year. After this game, Murray State will head home for a game against UIC.

Racers Lose 4 In A Row & 6 Of Last 7

JaCobi Wood leads the Racers in scoring and assists with 13.5 PPG and 5 APG along with 3.7 RPG while Kylen Milton has 11.6 PPG with 4.2 RPG. AJ Ferguson added 12 PPG with a team-high 5.4 RPG to lead the Racers on the glass while Terence Harcum chipped in 11.5 PPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Murray State up to this point in the year. Nick Ellington has 8.4 PPG with 4.8 RPG while KyeRon Lindsay also has 6.9 PPG with 4.6 RPG of his own as well this season. As a team, Murray State is averaging 73.7 PPG on 44.9% shooting from the field, 35.2% from three, and 69.9% from the foul line so far this season.

Why the Murray State Racers will win

• Valparaiso has lost each of its last eight games.
• Murray State has won each of its last five games against Valparaiso.

Valparaiso Recap

The Valparaiso Beacons come into this game looking to bounce back from an 80-62 loss to Indiana State to sit at 10-14 on the year. After this game, Valparaiso will welcome Belmont to town for a matchup.

Beacons Lose 8th In A Row

Cooper Schwieger leads the Beacons in scoring and rebounding with 14.2 PPG and 7.1 RPG while Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro has 10.7 PPG with 1.8 APG. Tyler Schmidt has 11.9 PPG and 3.4 RPG and All Wright has 12.2 PPG and 2.6 APG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Valparaiso so far this season. Darius DeAveiro has a team-high 2.6 APG to lead the Beacons in assists while Devon Ellis has 5.9 PPG with 2.8 RPG and Kaspar Sapp also has 6.5 RPG as well this season. As a team, Valparaiso is averaging 76.9 PPG on 43.4% shooting from the field, 33.3% from three, and 78.2% from the foul line this season.

Why the Valparaiso Beacons will win

• Murray State has lost each of its last four games.
• Valparaiso has won six of its last eight day games at Athletics-Recreation Center.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Valparaiso’s last seven home games has produced a total of 146+ points.
• Six of Murray State’s last seven day games have produced a total of 139 or fewer points.

Murray State vs. Valparaiso prediction

I’m with Murray State here. Valparaiso went from a cover machine earlier this season to now just going 1-5-2 ATS in this 8-game losing streak that they’re currently on. There’s been a couple of spots where Valpo has been competitive but I don’t see it here. Murray State had issues against Drake, but realistically, who hasn’t this season, I think that we’ve seen a lot more positives from Murray State than we’ve seen from Drake this season. Give me Murray State on the road in this one.