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Grambling State vs Alabama State Prediction 2/8/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Alabama State (9-13) vs Grambling State (6-16)

February 8, 2025 at 04:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Alabama State -4 — Over/Under: 133.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Grambling Tigers are visiting the Alabama State Hornets on Saturday, February 8th at the Dunn-Oliver Acadome. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Grambling Tigers vs Alabama State Hornets Prediction. We will examine:

The Alabama State Hornets’ recent form and player performance

The Grambling Tigers’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Alabama State Hornets

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Grambling Tigers

Recent betting trends in games played between the Grambling Tigers and Alabama State Hornets

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Grambling Tigers vs Alabama State Hornets game

Alabama State Hornets Preview

The Alabama State Hornets have a 9-13 record this season and are sitting in 5th place in the SWAC. Alabama State is coming off a 67-66 win over Florida A&M. The Hornets are 6-13-2 against the spread, and 9-11-1 in over/under while having a 5-1 home record. 

Offensively, Alabama State is averaging 74.5 points per game, which is 180th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 76.8 points per game (307th). The Hornets shoot 40.8% from the field (341st) and 32.7% from beyond the arc (256th). The Hornets shoot 67.5% from the free-throw line (312th), and are grabbing 35.7 rebounds per game (173rd).

Ammar Knox leads Alabama State in scoring with an average of 14.9 points, while CJ Hines adds 14.8 points and 3.2 rebounds per game.

Grambling Tigers Preview

The Grambling Tigers have a 6-16 record this season and are sitting in 10th place in the SWAC. Grambling is coming off a 53-60 loss to Alcorn State. The Tigers are 7-12 against the spread, and 8-11 in over/under while having a 2-10 road record.

Offensively, Grambling is averaging 67 points per game, which ranks 334th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 70.2 points per game (138th). The Tigers shoot 43.4% from the field (256th) and 34.3% from beyond the arc (153rd). The Tigers shoot 70.8% from the free-throw line (216th) and are grabbing 33.5 rebounds per game (292nd).

Antwan Burnett leads Grambling in scoring with an average of 11.7 points and a team-high 5.5 rebounds, while Mikale Stevenson adds 10.8 points, 4.5 rebounds, and a team-high 4 assists per game.

Why the Alabama State Hornets will win

  • Grambling State has lost eight of its last nine day games.
  • Alabama State has won six of its last seven games at Dunn-Oliver Acadome.
  • Grambling State has lost the first half in seven of its last eight day games.

Why the Grambling State Tigers will win

  • The road team has won each of Grambling State’s last four games.
  • Grambling State has won the first half in four of its last five day games at Dunn-Oliver Acadome.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Grambling State’s last five day games against Conference opponents has produced a total of 128 or fewer points.
  • Six of Alabama State’s last seven games at Dunn-Oliver Acadome have produced a total of 139+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Alabama State ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (11.4%).
  • Alabama State ranks 357th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (40.4).
  • Grambling State ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (18.8).

Grambling Tigers vs Alabama State Hornets Prediction

Grambling is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against Alabama State, and are 7-3 against the spread. Over/under is 5-5 in their last 10 meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, Grambling won 56-50 at home, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total.

In this Grambling Tigers vs Alabama State Hornets Prediction, Alabama State is coming as -4 home favorites. Alabama State is rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season, and have been almost perfect at home, while Grambling is terrible on the road. Both teams have been playing some lower-scoring games lately, as they are 11-3-1 to the under in their last 15 games combined. Their only meeting last season was also a low-scoring one, so I really like the under in this matchup.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 133.5

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