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California vs SMU Prediction 1/29/25 College Basketball Picks

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SMU (15-5) vs California (11-9)

January 29, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: SMU -11.5 — Over/Under: 153

(Get latest betting odds)

The Cal Golden Bears and SMU Mustangs meet Wednesday in college basketball action at the Moody Coliseum. Here’s a California vs SMU Prediction. This article will include a California vs SMU Pick.

Cal Golden Bears Betting Preview

The Cal Golden Bears beat Florida State and Miami, and they play Syracuse, NC State, and Wake Forest next. The Cal Golden Bears are averaging 76.3 points on 43.6 percent shooting and allowing 75.6 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Andrej Stojakovic is averaging 18.9 points and 4.4 rebounds, while Jeremiah Wilkinson is averaging 13 points and 1.1 assists. BJ Omot is the third double-digit scorer and Jovan Blacksher Jr. is grabbing 2.2 rebounds. The Cal Golden Bears are shooting 33.1 percent from beyond the arc and 75.2 percent from the free throw line. The Cal Golden Bears are allowing 37 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.1 rebounds per game.

SMU Mustangs Betting Preview

The SMU Mustangs lost to Louisville, beat NC State, and they play Stanford, Virginia Tech, and Pitt next. The SMU Mustangs are averaging 83.1 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 72.2 points on 40.9 percent shooting. Boopie Miller is averaging 13.8 points and 3.1 rebounds, while Chuck Harris is averaging 11.9 points and 1.8 assists. Matt Cross is the third double-digit scorer and BJ Edwards is grabbing 3.9 rebounds. The SMU Mustangs are shooting 38.3 percent from beyond the arc and 73.7 percent from the free throw line. The SMU Mustangs are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.7 rebounds per game.

Why the SMU Mustangs will win

  • SMU has won 10 of its last 11 night games at Moody Coliseum (Dallas) against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • California has lost six of its last eight night games after coming off overtime.

Why the California Golden Bears will win

  • California has won four of its last five night games.

California vs SMU Injury Report

SMU will continue to be without Mitchell Holmes due to an undisclosed issue. Cal will be without BJ Omot. Andrej Stojakoivc is questionable with an illness and Devin Curtis is questionable with an undisclosed injury.

California vs SMU Prediction

The SMU Mustangs are the more talented team and could win comfortably, especially if Cal remains this banged up. Check the injury report for updates on Stojakoivc and Curtis before betting. I’m still grabbing the points with Cal. The Cal Golden Bears have put together their best week of the season with wins over Florida State, Miami, and NC State. While the Hurricanes got whatever they wanted offensively, Cal has shown improvement defensively in recent games. The pace of SMU plays allows opponents to hang around at times. This line feels a little too thick, especially with the recent stretch Cal has put together. I’ll grab the points with the Golden Bears on the road.

Randy Chambers's Pick: California +11

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