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Florida vs Arkansas Prediction 1/11/25 College Basketball Picks
Pick details
Arkansas (11-4) vs Florida (14-1)
January 11, 2025 at 04:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Arkansas +5.5 — Over/Under: 156.5
The Florida Gators and Arkansas Razorbacks meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Bud Walton Arena. Here’s a Florida vs Arkansas Prediction. This article will include a Florida vs Arkansas Pick.
Florida Gators Betting Preview
The Florida Gators lost to Kentucky, beat Tennessee, and they play Missouri, Texas, and South Carolina next. The Florida Gators are averaging 87.3 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 64.9 points on 37.4 percent shooting. Walter Clayton Jr. is averaging 17.5 points and 3.3 rebounds, while Alijah Martin is averaging 16.1 points and 5.7 rebounds. Will Richard is the third double-digit scorer and Alex Condon is grabbing 8 rebounds. The Florida Gators are shooting 34.3 percent from beyond the arc and 72.4 percent from the free throw line. The Florida Gators are allowing 27.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.2 rebounds per game.
Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview
The Arkansas Razorbacks lost to Tennessee and Ole Miss, and they play LSU, Missouri, and Georgia next. The Arkansas Razorbacks are averaging 80.4 points on 49.8 percent shooting and allowing 66.2 points on 40.9 percent shooting. Adou Thiero is averaging 16.9 points and 5.9 rebounds, while Boogie Fland is averaging 15.5 points and 5.9 assists. DJ Wagner is the third double-digit scorer and Johnell Davis is grabbing 3.6 rebounds. The Arkansas Razorbacks are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 71.1 percent from the free throw line. The Arkansas Razorbacks are allowing 30.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.8 rebounds per game.
Why the Arkansas Razorbacks will win
- Arkansas has won nine of its last 10 games at Bud Walton Arena.
- Florida has lost four of its last five day games against Conference opponents.
- Florida has lost the first half in each of its last three day games against Conference opponents.
Why the Florida Gators will win
- Florida has won 15 of its last 16 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Arkansas has lost 12 of its last 13 day games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Arkansas has lost the first half in each of its last three games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of Arkansas’ last 10 games against AP-ranked opponents at Bud Walton Arena have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.
- Each of Florida’s last four games at Bud Walton Arena has produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
Florida vs Arkansas Injury Report
Neither Arkansas nor Florida have a player listed on its injury report.
Florida vs Arkansas Prediction
The Florida Gators have been the same team regardless of venue, as they shoot well, defend at an elite level and rebound as well as any team in the country. Florida’s only loss was a road game against Kentucky where it scored 100 points. The Arkansas Razorbacks are coming off back-to-back losses against Tennessee and Ole Miss where they couldn’t score. I doubt things change against a Florida defense that’s eighth in allowed field goal percentage and fourth in allowed three-point percentage. Florida is also 11-4 ATS on the season, while Arkansas is 4-10-1 ATS on the season. There’s a lot pointing toward a Gators win and cover. I’ll lay the points with the road team in this SEC showdown.
