Troy vs Marshall Prediction College Basketball Picks 1/4/25

Pick details

Marshall (8-7) vs Troy (9-4)

January 4, 2025 at 04:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Marshall +2 / Troy -2 — Over/Under: 144

(Get latest betting odds)

The Troy Trojans are visiting the Marshall Thundering Herd on Saturday, January 4th at the Cam Henderson Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Troy Trojans vs Marshall Thundering Herd Prediction. We will examine:

The Marshall Thundering Herd’s recent form and player performance

The Troy Trojans’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Marshall Thundering Herd

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Troy Trojans

Recent betting trends in games played between Troy Trojans and Marshall Thundering Herd

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Troy Trojans vs Marshall Thundering Herd game

Marshall Thundering Herd Preview

The Marshall Thundering Herd have a 7-7 record this season and are coming off a 59-73 loss to Elon. The Thundering Herd is 4-7-1 against the spread, and 4-6-2 in over/under while having a 5-1 home record. 

Offensively, Marshall is averaging 76 points per game, which ranks 179th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 72.3 points per game (212th). The Thundering Herd shoot 43.8% from the field (249th) and 28.4% from beyond the arc (350th). The Thundering Herd shoot 68.3% from the free-throw line (272nd) and are grabbing 37 rebounds per game (154th).

Mikal Dawson leads Marshall in scoring with an average of 13.8 points and 3.1 rebounds, while Obihna Anochili-Killen adds 12.4 points and 5.9 rebounds.

Troy Trojans Preview

The Troy Trojans have an 8-8 record this season and are coming off a 77-57 win over Georgia State. The Trojans are 6-3 against the spread, and 5-4 in over/under, while having a 2-2 road record this season. 

Offensively, Troy is averaging 75.4 points per game, which ranks 197th in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 66.4 points per game (69th). The Trojans shoot 45.9% from the field (151st) and 28.5% from beyond the arc (347th). The Trojans shoot 72.1% from the free-throw line (160th) and are grabbing 38.4 rebounds per game (87th).

Myles Rigsby leads Troy in scoring this season, with 12.7 points and 4.2 rebounds, while Tayton Conerway adds 9.4 points, 3.8 rebounds, and a team-high 4.1 assists.

Why the Marshall Thundering Herd will win

  • The home team has won each of Marshall’s last 13 games.
  • The home team has won the first half in each of Marshall’s last eight games.

Why the Troy Trojans will win

  • Troy has won seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Marshall has lost each of its last four day games following a home win.
  • Troy has won the first half in seven of its last eight road games against the Sun Belt Conference.

Troy Trojans vs Marshall Thundering Herd Prediction

Marshall is 3-1 in their 4 meetings against Troy and is 3-1 against the spread. In their most recent meeting last season, Troy won 82-66 at home. In this Troy Trojans vs Marshall Thundering Herd Prediction, Troy is coming as -2 road favorites. Marshall is better offensively, scoring 0.6 points more than Troy, while Troy is better defensively, allowing 5.9 points less. The Thundering Herd are winning by an average of 3.4 points this season, while the Trojans are winning by 9 points. Both teams have trouble scoring this season, as they both rank below the nation average offensively, with 151.4 points per game combined. They also struggle to shoot the ball from beyond the arc, as they both rank in the bottom 20 of the nation in 3-point percentage. The Trojans are an elite defensive team, with a top-70 defense, so I don’t expect a lot of points in this game. Take the under.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 144

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