Alabama State vs Southern Miss Prediction College Basketball Picks 12/5/24

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Alabama State Hornets

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Recent betting trends in games played between Alabama State and Southern Miss

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Alabama State vs Southern Miss game

Alabama State Hornets Betting Preview

Alabama State started out on a 3-2 run this year with wins over Virginia-Lynchburg, Omaha, and Lamar after losses to UNLV and LSU. The Hornets have since lost to Akron, Cincinnati, and SMU in their last trio.

In their matchup with SMU on Tuesday, the Hornets were behind by 10 points at the break and it only got worse from there in a 101-72 defeat. Amarr Knox led the team in the loss with 17 points in 25 minutes of work.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Preview

Over on the Southern Miss side, they have just three wins through their first seven games. Those victories came courtesy of Bowling Green, Loyola New Orleans, and Milwaukee. It’s been losses to UAB, South Dakota State, Montana State, and Abilene Christian otherwise.

In the Milwaukee matchup on Saturday, the Eagles trailed by one point 32-31 at the break. Southern Miss hit a 35-33 run the rest of the way in a 66-65 victory. Denijay Harris led the team with 24 points and eight rebounds in that one.

Why the Southern Miss Golden Eagles will win

• Southern Miss has won each of its last 13 day games at Reed Green Coliseum against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Alabama State has lost 30 of its last 33 away games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• Southern Miss has won the first half in six of its last eight games against non-conference opponents at Reed Green Coliseum.

Why the Alabama State Hornets will win

• Southern Miss has lost four of its last five games against non-conference opponents.
• Alabama State has won the first half in four of its last five day games.

Alabama State vs Southern Miss Prediction

I’ll probably lean toward Alabama State. There’s not a lot to get excited about here though, as both teams are struggling. That said, the Hornets have faced some tough teams lately, including SMU. In that Tuesday game Alabama State shot just 34.8 percent from the field and got out-rebounded 56-34 in a sizable loss. The Hornets were blown out by Akron and Cincinnati prior to that, however, they’ve generally done well versus comparable teams. 

As for Southern Miss, they shot a tepid 39.7 percent from the field with a 38-30 rebounding deficit against Milwaukee but still pulled off the win—thanks in part to 16 points off 17 Panthers turnovers. The Eagles have been below 67 points in two of the last three games and I don’t think they’ll control the pace here if Alabama State is playing well.