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New Mexico State vs Dayton Prediction College Basketball Picks 11/20/24
Pick details
Dayton (4-0) vs New Mexico State (3-0)
November 20, 2024 at 07:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Dayton -14.5 / New Mexico State +14.5 — Over/Under: 141.5
The New Mexico State Aggies and Dayton Flyers meet Wednesday in college basketball action at the UD Arena. Here’s a New Mexico State vs Dayton Prediction. This article will include a New Mexico State vs Dayton Pick.
New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview
The New Mexico State Aggies beat Utah Tech and Corpus Christi, and they play UNLV, Pepperdine, and Abilene Christian next. The New Mexico State Aggies are averaging 84 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 67.3 points on 32.3 percent shooting. Zawdie Jackson is averaging 16.3 points and 4 rebounds, while Christian Cook is averaging 16 points and 2.3 rebounds. Robert Carpenter is the third double-digit scorer and Dionte Bostick is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The New Mexico State Aggies are shooting 38.7 percent from beyond the arc and 66.7 percent from the free throw line. The New Mexico State Aggies are allowing 27 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.7 rebounds per game.
Dayton Flyers Betting Preview
The Dayton Flyers beat Ball State and Northwestern, and they play North Carolina, Western Michigan, and Leigh next. The Dayton Flyers are averaging 78.3 points on 49.3 percent shooting and allowing 64 points on 38.3 percent shooting. Enoch Cheeks is averaging 17.3 points and 8.7 rebounds, while Zed Key is averaging 12.7 points and 1 assist. Malachi Smith is the third double-digit scorer and Javon Bennett is grabbing 2.5 rebounds. The Dayton Flyers are shooting 29.5 percent from beyond the arc and 63.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Dayton Flyers are allowing 31.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.7 rebounds per game.
Why the Dayton Flyers will win
- Dayton has won each of its last 20 games at the University of Dayton Arena.
- New Mexico State has lost 10 of its last 11 road night games against non-conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Four of New Mexico State’s last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 147+ points.
- Seventeen of Dayton’s last 22 home night games against non-conference opponents have produced a total of 137 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Dayton ranks T35th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (13.5).
- Dayton ranks T40th among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (61.8).
- New Mexico State ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (50.3).
- New Mexico State ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (57.0%).
New Mexico State vs Dayton Prediction
The New Mexico State Aggies haven’t quite played anybody up to this point, and they nearly lost as a decent-sized favorite to Corpus Christi. The Dayton Flyers are obviously the more talented team, but they’re rolling at both ends of the ball as well. The only concern for Dayton is that this is a look-ahead spot with North Carolina on deck. Assuming that’s not an issue, the Flyers should roll. I’ll lay the points with Dayton.
