UTSA vs Texas Prediction College Football Picks 9/14/24

Pick details

Texas (2-0) vs UTSA (1-1)

September 14, 2024 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Texas -34.5 / UTSA +34.5 — Over/Under: 55.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The UTSA Roadrunners and the Texas Longhorns meet in week 3 college football action from DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UTSA vs. Texas prediction.

UTSA Recap

The UTSA Roadrunners come into this one looking to bounce back from being on the wrong end of a 49-10 beatdown loss at the hands of Texas State last time out. After this game, UTSA will head home for a date with FCS Houston Christian

New Era Of UTSA Football Slow Out Of The Gates

Owen McCown has thrown for 445 yards and 3 touchdowns on 62.3% passing while Eddie Lee Marburger has thrown for 147 yards, a touchdown, and an INT on 51.9% passing. Robert Henry also has a team-high 56 rushing yards while Willie McCoy has a team-high 118 receiving yards and a touchdown on 7 receptions Devin McCuin has a team-high 17 receptions for 108 yards and 2 touchdowns. On defense, Ken Robinson has a team-high 14 total tackles while Owen Pewee has 11 total tackles. Jimmori Robinson has a team-high 2 sacks while James Walley Jr. and Martavius French each have a sack and Zach Morris has the lone INT for UTSA’s defense this season.

Why the UTSA Roadrunners will win

  • UTSA has won nine of its last 11 games.
  • Texas has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four September games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Texas Recap

The Texas Longhorns will come into this one looking to build on their 31-12 win over Michigan on the road last time out. After this matchup, Texas will welcome Louisiana-Monroe to town.

Texas Rolling Along

Quinn Ewers has thrown for 506 yards, 6 touchdowns, and an interception on 69.8% passing while Jerrick Gibson’s rushed for 103 yards and 2 touchdowns. Gunnar Helm leads Texas’ receiving group with 9 grabs for 140 yards and a TD while Isaiah Bond has 112 receiving yards. Matthew Golden also has a team-high 3 receiving TDs with his 9 grabs for 91 yards. On defense, Jaylon Guilbeau has a team-high 13 total tackles while David Gbenda and Anthony Hill Jr. each have 11 total tackles. As a unit, Texas’ defense has combined for 1 sack and 4 interceptions this season.

Why the Texas Longhorns will win

  • Texas has won each of its last 14 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • UTSA has lost four of its last five games in September.
  • UTSA has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 games against non-conference opponents.
  • Texas has covered the spread in five of its last six games.

UTSA vs. Texas Prediction

I’m with Texas here. Normally this kind of number would scare me against anyone, even at this juncture of the season, but the Roadrunners are going through such a change with losses to the QB position and frankly a new-look offense. Texas was a team I could worry about having a bit of a letdown after their rout of Michigan that wasn’t all that close, but I think Texas shows up here. Give me the Longhorns.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Texas -34.5

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