Western Michigan vs Massachusetts Prediction 10/4/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Western Michigan Broncos and the UMass Minutemen meet in week 6 college football action from McGuirk Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Western Michigan Broncos vs. UMass Minutemen prediction.

Western Michigan Broncos Recap

The Western Michigan Broncos come into this game looking to build on their 47-14 beatdown win over the Rhode Island Rams last time out to sit at 2-3 this season. After this game, Western Michigan will head home for a game against Ball State.

Broncos Win Back-To-Back Games

Broc Lowry has thrown for 588 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception on 57.3% passing while also rushing for a team-high 227 yards and 5 touchdowns on the ground. Jalen Buckley, Devin Miles and Ofa Mataele each have 100+ rushing yards as well this season. Talique Williams leads the Broncos with 12 catches for 217 yards while Baylin Brooks has 10 receptions for 151 yards this season. On defense, Tate Hallock has a team-high 26 total tackles including 19 solo tackles and an interception while Nadame Tucker and Rodney McGraw each have a team-high 3 sacks. As a unit, Western Michigan has combined for 18 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season.

UMass Minutemen Recap

The UMass Minutemen come into this game looking to bounce back from a 42-6 loss at the hands of Missouri last time out to fall to 0-4 this season. After this game, UMass will head on the road for a game against Kent State.

Minutemen Still Searching For First W

Grant Jordan has thrown for 278 yards and an interception on 58.7% passing while Brandon Rose has thrown for 217 yards and an INT on 61.4% passing and AJ Hairston has thrown for 159 yards, a TD and an INT on 41.9% passing this season. Rocko Griffin leads UMass in rushing with 165 rushing yards and a TD while Jacquon Gibson has a team-high 30 catches for 288 yards and Donnie Gray has 115 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Timmy Hinspeter has a team-high 41 total tackles including a pair of sacks as well as an interception while Marques White has a team-high 3 sacks. As a unit, UMass has combined for 8 sacks and 3 interceptions so far this season.

Western Michigan Broncos @ Massachusetts Minutemen Betting Trends: Week 6

Why the Massachusetts Minutemen will win

• Western Michigan has lost each of its last four road games.
• The home team has won four of Western Michigan’s last five games.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of Western Michigan’s last four games.
• Western Michigan has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five road games against conference opponents.
• Western Michigan has lost the first half in four of its last five games against conference opponents.

Why the Western Michigan Broncos will win

• Massachusetts has lost each of its last eight games.
• Western Michigan has won each of its last five games in October.
• Western Michigan has covered the spread in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Massachusetts has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Massachusetts has lost the first half in 13 of its last 16 games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Massachusetts’ last six games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of Western Michigan’s last eight games in October have gone OVER the total points line.

Massachusetts Minutemen Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Jacquon Gibson has the most targets without a receiving touchdown this season (51).

Western Michigan Broncos Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Broc Lowry leads Western Michigan for touchdowns (5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Massachusetts ranks 136th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (1.5).
• Massachusetts ranks 136th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (225.8).
• Western Michigan has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
• Western Michigan has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of three points or less of any FBS team this season (1).

Western Michigan Broncos vs. UMass Minutemen Prediction

I’m on Western Michigan here. The Broncos have just been really good defensively and have some solid ranks statistically on that side of the ball despite games against Illinois, North Texas and Michigan State. The Minutemen are just roadkill defensively, and I just don’t see them posing a threat here against the Broncos. Give me Western Michigan here.