Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee Prediction College Football Picks 9/14/24

Pick details

Middle Tennessee (1-1) vs WKU (1-1)

September 14, 2024 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Middle Tennessee +7.5 / WKU -7.5 — Over/Under: 54.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders meet Saturday in week 3 college football action at Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium. Here’s a Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee Prediction. This article will include a Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee Pick.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Betting Preview

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers lost to Alabama, beat Eastern Kentucky, and play Toledo next. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have lost 4 of their last 7 road games. TJ Finley is completing 64.3 percent of his passes for 443 yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Kisean Johnson and Moussa Barry have combined for 199 receiving yards on 15 catches, while Easton Messer has 7 receptions. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers ground game is averaging 79 yards per contest, and Elijah Young leads the way with 70 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Western Kentucky is allowing 31.5 points and 433 yards per game. Devonte’ Mathews leads the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers with 10 tackles, Darius Thomas has 1 sack and Kent Robinson has 2 pass deflections.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Betting Preview

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders beat Tennessee Tech, lost to Ole Miss, and play Duke next. The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have won their last 4 home games. Nicholas Vattiato is completing 60.3 percent of his passes for 419 yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Holden Willis and Myles Butler have combined for 197 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Cam’ron Lacy has 4 receptions. The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders ground game is averaging 73 yards per contest, and Jaiden Credle leads the way with 50 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Middle Tennessee is allowing 38.5 points and 498 yards per game. Brendon Harris leads the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders with 18 tackles, James Gillespie has 2 sacks and John Howse IV has 1 interception.

Why the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers will win

  • Western Kentucky has won each of its last five games against Middle Tennessee.
  • Middle Tennessee has lost six of its last seven games in September.
  • Western Kentucky has covered the spread in seven of its last eight September road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Middle Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games in September.

Total Points Facts

  • Five of Middle Tennessee’s last six games against non-AP-ranked teams at Johnny Floyd Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of Western Kentucky’s last three games against non-AP-ranked teams at Johnny Floyd Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee Prediction

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have had success at home dating back to last season, but they’ve been underwhelming through two games and almost lost to Tennessee Tech. Western Kentucky rebounded from an ugly loss to Alabama and entered this contest as the more talented team with the better defense and more reliable quarterback. Middle Tennessee has failed to cover 5 of its last 6 games. Western Kentucky has won 8 of the last 9 games against Middle Tennessee and has covered 5 of those games. I’ll lay the chalk with the Hilltoppers on the road.

Randy Chambers's Pick: WKU -7.5

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