Ole Miss vs Wake Forest Prediction College Football Picks 9/14/24

Pick details

Wake Forest (1-1) vs Ole Miss (2-0)

September 14, 2024 at 06:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Wake Forest +23.5 / Ole Miss -23.5 — Over/Under: 60.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Ole Miss Rebels and the Wake Forest Demon Deacons meet Saturday in college football action from BB&T Field. Here’s an Ole Miss vs Wake Forest prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Ole Miss vs Wake Forest pick. We will examine:

The Ole Miss Rebels’ recent form and player performance

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Ole Miss Rebels

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Recent betting trends in games played between Ole Miss vs Wake Forest

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Ole Miss vs Wake Forest game

Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview

Ole Miss played the Furman Paladins in their opener. The Rebels had zero issues overwhelming the opposition in that one, posting a 76-0 blowout win. Jaxson Dart finished with 418 pass yards and five scores. Tre Harris caught two TDs among his eight receptions for 179 yards.

Matched up against Middle Tennessee in game two, Ole Miss scored double-digit points in the first three quarters during a 52-3 win. Dart bagged 377 yards and a TD, but Henry Parrish did most of the work on 14 carries for 165 yards and four touchdowns.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons Betting Preview

Over on the Wake Forest side, their season kicked off against North Carolina A&T. The Demon Deacons posted 21 points in the third quarter alone during a 45-13 blowout win. QB Hank Bachmeier logged 263 yards with three scores, while Demond Claiborne carried 17 times for 135 yards and a touchdown.

In the Virginia matchup last weekend, Wake Forest took a 30-17 lead into the final quarter. The Deacons broke down from there with 14 unanswered points, however, and lost 31-30. Bachmeier posted 403 yards and a TD. Donavon Green caught 11 balls for 166 yards and a score.

Why the Wake Forest Demon Deacons will win

  • Wake Forest has won each of its last nine home games against non-conference opponents.
  • Wake Forest has covered the spread in each of its last four games as an underdog against teams with an AP Ranking of 5.

Why the Ole Miss Rebels will win

  • Ole Miss has won each of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Wake Forest has lost each of its last four games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Wake Forest has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games at Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium.
  • Ole Miss has covered the spread in six of its last seven games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Wake Forest’s last four games has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of Ole Miss’ last three games as a road favorite has gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Wake Forest ranks T1st among FBS teams for H1 win percentage this season (1.000).
  • Wake Forest ranks 8th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (15.5).
  • Ole Miss ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
  • Ole Miss ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (0.0).

Ole Miss vs Wake Forest Prediction

I’m going with Ole Miss. Sure, Middle Tennessee wasn’t exactly top-shelf competition last weekend, but the Rebels took care of business. Ole Miss finished with 655 total yards (397 passing), 9.0 yards per play, 34 first downs, and 7-of-9 on third-down tries. On defense, the Rebels gave up just 279 yards (251 passing) and posted two takeaways. The one real blemish was the eight penalties.

As for Wake Forest, they’re reeling after their fourth-quarter breakdown last weekend. The Deacons went a tepid 5-of-15 on third downs and gave up 357 passing yards along the way. Wake Forest will have to recover quickly for Saturday’s game, and I don’t think they’ll quite cover.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Ole Miss Rebels -23.5

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