Washington vs Penn State Prediction College Football Picks 11/9/24

Pick details

Penn State (7-1) vs Washington (5-4)

November 9, 2024 at 08:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Penn State -13 / Washington +13 — Over/Under: 46.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Washington vs Penn State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 9th at Beaver Stadium in University Park, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 11 matchup. 

Washington Huskies Betting Preview

The Washington Huskies are 5-4 (3-3) this season after they defeated USC by a score of 26-21 in their last game. Washington led 20-7 at halftime, but they needed a fourth-quarter touchdown to get the win. The Huskies were outgained by a total of 459-375, won the turnover battle 3-0, and went 6-14 on third down in the game. Will Rogers threw for 262 yards on 25 completions, while Jonah Coleman rushed for 104 yards and two touchdowns. 

Prior to that game, the Huskies lost to Indiana by a score of 31-17 and Iowa by a score of 40-16. The Washington offense has scored 23.6 points per game with 280.7 passing yards and 148.4 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 19 points per game this season. Will Rogers has completed 71.1% of his passes for 2,284 yards, 13 touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Jonah Coleman has rushed for 889 yards and seven scores. 

Penn State Nittany Lions Betting Preview

The Penn State Nittany Lions are 7-1 (4-1) this year after they lost to Ohio State by a score of 20-13 in their last game. Penn State led 10-0 in the first quarter, but they couldn’t find the end zone after that for the loss. The Nittany Lions were outgained by a total of 361-270, won the turnover battle 2-1, and went 3-11 on third down in the game. Drew Allar threw for 146 yards and one interception, while Tyler Warren rushed for 47 yards on three carries. 

Prior to that loss, the Nittany Lions won their first seven games of the season, including wins over West Virginia, USC, and Wisconsin. The Penn State offense has scored 30 points per game with 252 passing yards and 187.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 15 points per game this season. Drew Allar has completed 70.1% of his passes for 1,786 yards, 12 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Kaytron Allen has rushed for 536 yards and four scores. 

Why Penn State will cover

  • Penn State has won each of its last 15 home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Penn State has covered the spread in each of its last nine November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Washington has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three road games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Penn State’s last seven home games in November has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of Washington’s last five November games as a road underdog has gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Penn State ranks 7th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (278.8).
  • Penn State ranks 8th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (15.0).
  • Washington ranks T12th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (3.8).
  • Washington ranks 17th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (8.7).

Washington vs Penn State Prediction 

Penn State comes into this game with just one loss on the season, but that loss came last week against Ohio State. The Nittany Lions had a 10-0 lead in that game and the defense played very well, but the offense really let them down and they lost another big game. Washington bounced back after two losses with a win over USC, but they are 0-3 on the road in conference play. I do think Penn State will bounce back, as they know they can still get to the CFP, and they are great at beating the teams that aren’t named Michigan or Ohio State. Take Penn State to win by two scores. 

David Racey's Pick: Penn State -13

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