Ohio State (7-1) vs Purdue (1-7)
Game Info: Saturday, November 9, 2024 at 12:00 pm (Ohio Stadium)
Betting Odds: Ohio State -37.5 / Purdue +37.5 --- Over/Under: 52.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Purdue Boilermakers and Ohio State Buckeyes meet Saturday in week 11 college football action at Ohio Stadium. Here’s a Purdue vs Ohio State Prediction. This article will include a Purdue vs Ohio State Pick.
Purdue Boilermakers Betting Preview
The Purdue Boilermakers lost to Oregon and Northwestern, and they play Penn State next. The Purdue Boilermakers have lost 7 straight road games. Hudson Card is completing 61.7 percent of his passes for 1,005 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Max Klare and Jahmal Edrine have combined for 677 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Jaron Tibbs has 20 receptions.
The Purdue Boilermakers ground game is averaging 149 yards per contest, and Devin Mockobee leads the way with 539 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Purdue is allowing 36.9 points and 448.1 yards per game. Dillon Thieneman leads the Purdue Boilermakers with 64 tackles, Kydran Jenkins has 5.5 sacks and Kyndrich Breedlove has 3 interceptions.
Ohio State Buckeyes Betting Preview
The Ohio State Buckeyes beat Nebraska and Penn State, and they play Northwestern next. The Ohio State Buckeyes haven’t lost at home since November 2022. Will Howard is completing 73.2 percent of his passes for 1,977 yards, 19 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Jeremiah Smith and Emeka Egbuka have combined for 1,255 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns, while Carnell Tate has 21 receptions.
The Ohio State Buckeyes ground game is averaging 186.5 yards per contest, and Quinshon Judkins leads the way with 615 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Ohio State is allowing 12 points and 256.4 yards per game. Sonny Styles leads the Ohio State Buckeyes with 52 tackles, JT Tuimoloau has 4.5 sacks and Denzel Burke has 2 interceptions.
Why the Ohio State Buckeyes will win
- Ohio State has won each of its last 53 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Ohio Stadium.
- Purdue has lost each of its last seven road games.
- Purdue has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games against conference opponents.
- Ohio State has covered the spread in five of its last six November home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Purdue has lost the first half in six of its last seven games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Ohio State's last six games against conference opponents at Ohio Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of Purdue's last five November games against top-10 AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Ohio State ranks 1st among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (+10.6).
- Ohio State ranks T2nd among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (1.1).
- Purdue ranks 134th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (18.2).
- Purdue ranks 133rd among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (-7.4).
Purdue vs Ohio State Prediction
There's no reason to get behind the Purdue Boilermakers because they're awful at both ends of the field, and they're 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games despite being massive underdogs most weeks. However, this line is still massive. The Ohio State Buckeyes are coming off a big win over Penn State, and we have to question to motivation to lay the wood. With likely a Big Ten championship and playoffs soon, this should be a win-and-advance game. Also, OSU is 1-2 ATS this season when favorites of 30 or more points. This line is steep. It's Purdue or pass for me.
Randy’s Pick Purdue +37.5
AUTHOR: Randy Chambers
