USF vs Alabama Prediction College Football Picks 9/7/24

Pick details

Alabama (1-0) vs USF (1-0)

September 7, 2024 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Alabama -30.5 / USF +30.5 — Over/Under: 62.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The South Florida Bulls and Alabama Crimson Tide meet Saturday in week 2 college football action at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Here’s a South Florida vs Alabama Prediction. This article will include a South Florida vs Alabama Pick.

South Florida Bulls Betting Preview

The South Florida Bulls smoked Bethune-Cookman in their opener and get Southern Miss and Miami next. South Florida looks for its first 2-0 start since the 2018 season. Byrum Brown is completing 65 percent of his passes for 152 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen and Sean Atkins combined for 115 receiving yards on 9 catches, while Michael Brown-Stephens has 2 receptions. The South Florida Bulls ground game is averaging 231 yards per contest, and Kelley Joiner leads the way with 78 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, South Florida is allowing 3 points and 170 yards per game. Rodney Hill leads the South Florida Bulls with 7 tackles, Dinellson Exume has 1 sack and D’Marco Augustin has 1 interception.

Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview

The Alabama Crimson Tide smoked Western Kentucky and gets Wisconsin, Georgia, and Vanderbilt next. Alabama looks for its 20th 2-0 start in the last 21 years. Jalen Milroe is completing 77.8 percent of his passes for 200 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Ryan Williams and Kobe Prentice have combined for 182 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Caleb Odom has 2 receptions. The Alabama Crimson Tide ground game is averaging 334 yards per contest, and Justice Haynes leads the way with 102 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Alabama is allowing 0 points and 145 yards per game. Deontae Lawson leads the Alabama Crimson Tide with 9 tackles, Que Robinson has 1 sack and Keon Sabb has 2 interceptions.

Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win

  • South Florida has lost each of its last 11 September games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Alabama has won 58 of its last 60 games at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
  • Alabama has covered the spread in each of its last four games at Bryant-Denny Stadium.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Alabama’s last four games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Six of South Florida’s last seven September games against AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Alabama ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
  • Alabama ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
  • South Florida ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
  • South Florida ranks T1st among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (0.0).

South Florida vs Alabama Prediction

The Alabama Crimson Tide is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games when favorites of 30 or more points. Of course, all but one of those games was under Nick Saban. Alabama obviously has the horses to blow the doors off, but we also can’t forget that USF put a scare in the Crimson Tide last season, which includes being tied 3-3 at halftime. The South Florida Bulls have a playmaker at quarterback and should be able to sustain a drive or two that can keep us within the number. Also, a possible look-ahead spot for Alabama with Wisconsin and Georgia on deck. A lot of points for a team breaking in a new coaching staff. USF should be somewhat confident after last year. I’ll take a shot with the Bulls.

Randy Chambers's Pick: South Florida Bulls +30.5

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