Tulane vs Navy Prediction College Football Picks 11/16/24

In this article, we will formulate a Tulane vs Navy prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 16th at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 12 matchup. 

Tulane Green Wave Betting Preview

The Tulane Green Wave are 8-2 (6-0) this year after they defeated Temple by a score of 52-6 in their last game. Tulane scored the first 52 points in the game and they cruised to the easy win. The Green Wave outgained Temple by a total of 589-159, lost the turnover battle 2-0, and went 9-13 on third down in the game. Darian Mensah threw for 262 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Makhi Hughes rushed for 153 yards and two scores. 

Prior to that game, the Green Wave won six games in a row and scored 34+ points in five of them. The Tulane offense has scored 42.2 points per game with 214.2 passing yards and 227.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 18.7 points per game this season. Darian Mensah has completed 65.6% of his passes for 2,059 yards, 16 touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Makhi Hughes has rushed for 1,209 yards and 13 scores. 

Navy Midshipmen Betting Preview

The Navy Midshipmen are 7-2 (5-1) this season after they defeated South Florida by a score of 28-7 in their last game. Navy scored the first 28 points in the game and was in control of the whole game. The Midshipmen outgained USF by a total of 379-342, won the turnover battle 3-1, and went 7-17 on third down in the game. Blake Horvath threw for 58 yards and one interception, while Eli Heidenreich rushed for 84 yards and one score. 

Prior to that win, the Midshipmen lost to Rice by a score of 24-10 and Notre Dame by a score of 51-14. The Navy offense has scored 35.7 points per game with 136.9 passing yards and 259.1 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22.2 points per game this season. Blake Horvath has completed 59% of his passes for 1,154 yards, 11 touchdowns, and four interceptions, while also rushing for 870 yards and 13 scores. 

Why Navy will cover

• Navy has won each of its last six home games against conference opponents.
• Navy has covered the spread in 10 of its last 11 November games at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.

Why Tulane will cover

• Tulane has won each of its last 11 road games against conference opponents.
• Navy has lost 15 of its last 16 games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
• Tulane has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games as a favorite.
• Navy has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Nine of Tulane’s last 10 November road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Navy’s last four games at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Navy ranks 128th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (136.9).
• Navy ranks T7th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (75.0).
• Tulane ranks 4th among FBS teams for points per game this season (41.0).
• Tulane ranks 4th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (19.9).

Tulane vs Navy Prediction 

Navy comes into this game trying to stay alive in the race for the AAC, but they need to get a win here. The Midshipmen were absolutely dominant in their first six games of the season, but the last three have seen some struggles. Tulane is undefeated in conference play and their offense has been rolling this season, as they are scoring over 40 points per game. Navy will have the home-field advantage in this matchup, but I am worried about how their defense is going to hold up. I think we are going to see plenty of points in this matchup, so give me the over here.