Toledo vs Mississippi State Prediction College Football Picks 9/14/24

Pick details

Mississippi State (1-1) vs Toledo (2-0)

Game Info: Saturday, September 14, 2024 at 7:30 pm (Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field)

The Line: Betting Odds: Mississippi State -9.5 / Toledo +9.5 — Over/Under: 57.5

(Get latest betting odds)


In this article, we will formulate a Toledo vs Mississippi State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 14th at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, Mississippi. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 3 matchup. 

Toledo Rockets Betting Preview

The Toledo Rockets are 2-0 this year after they defeated UMass by a score of 38-23 in their last game. Toledo led 17-13 at halftime and they added 21 points in the second half for the win. The Rockets were outgained by a total of 384-258, forced one turnover, and went 3-12 on third downs in the game. Tucker Gleason threw for 175 yards and three touchdowns, while Junior Vandeross III caught three passes for 115 yards and one score. 

Toledo defeated Duquesne by a score of 49-10 in their first game, but this game will be much more difficult than the first two. The Toledo offense has scored 43.5 points per game with 227 passing yards and 125 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 16.5 points per game this year. The Rockets are 37.5% on third down and 3-4 on fourth down through two games. Tucker Gleason has completed 48.9% of his passes for 377 yards and six touchdowns, while Junior Vandeross III has caught seven passes for 152 yards and two scores. Toledo will take on Western Kentucky following this game.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 1-1 this season after they lost to Arizona State by a score of 30-23 last week. Mississippi State played a terrible first half and they trailed 27-3, but they nearly completed a crazy comeback in the second half. Mississippi State was outgained by a total of 428-298, turned the ball over once, and went 3-11 on third down in the loss. Blake Shapen threw for 268 yards and two touchdowns, while Kevin Coleman caught four passes for 103 yards and one score. 

Mississippi State defeated Eastern Kentucky by a score of 56-7 in their first game and they dominated from start to finish. The Mississippi State offense has scored 48.5 points per game with 257.5 passing yards and 113.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 18.5 points per game this season. The Bulldogs are 36.4% on third down and 3-5 on fourth down through two games this year. Blake Shapen has completed 68.8% of his passes for 515 yards and five touchdowns, while Kevin Coleman has caught nine passes for 191 yards and two scores. 

Toledo vs Mississippi State Prediction 

Mississippi State looked completely lost in the first half against Arizona State last week, but they played much better in the second half and I think they will continue that momentum here. The Bulldogs did allow way too many rushing yards last week, but I don’t think they will have that problem here. Toledo has won their first two games of the season, but they were outgained last week and their starting quarterback is completing under 50% of his passes. I think the Mississippi State offense will find success with their crazy tempo and I think Toledo is going to have to work very hard to put points up. Take the Bulldogs here. 

David Racey's Pick: Mississippi State -9.5

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