Pick details
| MATCHUP | Cincinnati Reds | Minnesota Twins |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Spread | +1.5 -181 | -1.5 149 |
| Moneyline | +113 | -136 |
| Total | Over 8 (-105) | Under 8 (-115) |
| Where | Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota | |
| When | Saturday, April 18, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Minnesota Twins Preview
The Minnesota Twins have a 11-9 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the AL Central. They have a 7-4 home record and are coming off a 1-2 home loss against the Reds. Their previous three games were a 5-9 home loss, a 6-0 and a 13-6 home win to the Red Sox.
The Twins have a .229 batting average this season, .332 OBP and .388 Slugging percentage. Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Josh Bell is the team’s best hitter with a .254 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 14. Josh Bell adds a team‑high 3 home runs.
Taj Bradley (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins, and he has a 3-0 record, 1.25 ERA and 1.25 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds Preview
The Cincinnati Reds have a 12-8 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL Central. They have a 6-2 away record and are coming off a 2-1 road win against the Twins. Their previous three games were a 3-0 home loss, an 8-3 and a 2-1 home win to the Giants.
The Reds have a .197 batting average this season, .293 OBP and .327 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 3.48 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Sal Stewart is the team’s best hitter with a .300 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 17 and adding a team‑high 7 home runs.
Andrew Abbott (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has a 0-2 record, 5.85 ERA and 1.70 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds @ Minnesota Twins Betting Trends: April 18, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Taj Bradley Record this season: 3-0 ERA: 1.25
- Home Record: 1-0
- Last 5 against Reds: 1-0
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Twins have won six of their last seven home games after playing the previous day.
- The Reds have lost three of their last four games following a win.
- The Twins have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against AL Central opponents.
- The Twins have won the first inning in three of their last four games.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight home games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Andrew Abbott Record this season: 0-2 ERA: 5.85
- Road Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Twins: 0-0
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Twins have lost nine of their last 10 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Reds have won eight of their last nine games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as favorites.
- The Reds have covered the run line each of their last eight Saturday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last five day games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Twins’ last four games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last five games against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Reds’ last seven games at Target Field.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in three of the Twins’ last four games against the Reds.
- Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL Central opponents.
- Taj Bradley ranks T4th in the league for Wins (3) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in four of the Reds’ last five road games against AL Central opponents.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 14 road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Sal Stewart ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (7) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Twins rank T2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (13).
- The Twins rank T28th in the league for doubles this season (23).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (66).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (127).
Reds vs Twins Prediction
The Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Twins and are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Minnesota.
In this Reds vs Twins Prediction, the Twins are coming as -140 home favorites. The Twins have the pitching advantage in this game, as Taj Bradley, who has only two earned runs in his three starts this season, goes up against Andrew Abbott, who has 4+ earned runs in two of his three starts. On top of that, Cincinnati also has the worst offense in baseball so this sets up as a nice bounce-back spot for the Twins. Take the Twins on the moneyline in this one.




