Toledo vs Central Michigan Prediction 11/29/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Toledo vs Central Michigan Prediction for this College Football Week 14 game on Saturday, November 29th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Central Michigan Chippewas Preview

Central Michigan has a 7-4 record this season and is sitting 2nd in the MAC. They are coming off a 28-16 road win against Kent State. Offensively, Central Michigan averages 25.7 points per game, ranking 81st in the nation, while defensively, they allow 22.8 points per game, which is 52nd. Central Michigan averages 336.8 total yards per game (159.3 passing and 177.5 rushing), while allowing 353.8 total yards per game (146.5 rushing and 207.3 passing).

Joey Labas leads Central Michigan with 1,434 passing yards with 69.9% completed passes and 12 touchdowns. Nahree Biggins leads the team in rushing yards with 497, while Langston Lewis has a team-high 29 receptions for 442 receiving yards. Defensively, Jordan Kwiatkowski has a team-high 96 total tackles (42 of them solo), while Michael Heldman leads the team in sacks, with 9.5, and Jordan Kwiatkowski leads the team with 3 interceptions.

Toledo Rockets Preview

Toledo has a 7-4 record this season and is sitting 4th in the MAC. They are coming off a 38-9 home win against Ball State. Offensively, Toledo averages 32.5 points per game, ranking 37th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 13 points per game, which is 5th. Toledo averages 422.8 total yards per game (247.5 passing and 175.4 rushing), while allowing 240.9 total yards per game (92.2 rushing and 148.7 passing).

Tucker Gleason leads Toledo with 2,417 passing yards with 65.3% completed passes and 21 touchdowns. Deamonte Trayanum leads the team in rushing yards with 856, while Junior Vandeross III has a team-high 71 receptions for 876 receiving yards. Defensively, K’Von Sherman has a team-high 79 total tackles (47 of them solo), while Malachi Davis leads the team in sacks, with 5.5, and Braden Awls leads the team with 5 interceptions.

Toledo Rockets @ Central Michigan Chippewas Betting Trends: Week 14

Why the Central Michigan Chippewas will win

• Toledo has lost four of its last five games as a road favorite.
• Central Michigan has won each of its last five home games.
• Central Michigan has covered the spread in each of its last seven home games.
• Toledo has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games as a road favorite.
• Central Michigan has won the first quarter in each of its last four games against conference opponents.
• Central Michigan has won the first half in each of its last five games against conference opponents.

Why the Toledo Rockets will win

• Toledo has won each of its last four games against conference opponents.
• Central Michigan has lost four of its last five home games against teams from Ohio.
• The favorite has covered the spread in each of Central Michigan’s last four games at Kramer/Deromedi Field at Kelly/Shorts Stadium.
• Toledo has won the first half in each of its last seven games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last six games between Toledo and Central Michigan have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of Toledo’s last nine games as a favorite against Central Michigan have gone UNDER the total points line.

Central Michigan Chippewas Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 14, Michael Heldman ranks T10th amongst FBS players for sacks (9.5) this season.

Toledo Rockets Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 14, Braden Awls ranks T2nd amongst FBS players for interceptions (5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Central Michigan ranks T8th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (71.4).
• Central Michigan ranks 14th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (38.1).
• Toledo has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 35+ points of any FBS team this season (4).
• Toledo ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (1.5).

Toledo vs Central Michigan Prediction

In this Toledo vs Central Michigan Prediction, Toledo is coming as -10-point road favorites. Both teams have identical records this season but Central Michigan has been undefeated in its 4 home games, while on the flip side, Toledo has been terrible on the road, with a 1-4 record. Both teams are coming into this matchup in good form, as they both are 4-1 in their last 5 games but Toledo has been superior both offensively and defensively, with a +19.5 point differential as they have the 5th-best defense in the country. The value here lies with the road team, so take Toledo and lay the -10 on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Toledo -10