South Alabama vs Arkansas State Prediction College Football Picks 10/5/24

The South Alabama Jaguars and the Arkansas State Red Wolves meet in week 6 college football action from Jerry Richardson Stadium on Saturday night. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a South Alabama vs. Arkansas State prediction.

South Alabama Recap

The South Alabama Jaguars come into this one looking to rebound from a 42-10 loss to LSU last time out, dropping to 2-3 on the year. After this game, South Alabama heads home to start a homestand with a matchup against Troy.

Jaguars Looking To Get Back To .500

Gio Lopez has thrown for 1,016 yards and 10 touchdowns on 64.3% passing while Bishop Davenport’s thrown for 278 yards and a TD on 60% passing. Fluff Bothwell leads South Alabama on the ground with 374 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns while Kentrel Bullock has 259 rushing yards with 3 TDs and the aforementioned Lopez has 204 rushing yards and 2 TDs. Jamaal Pritchett leads South Alabama’s receiving group with 29 grabs for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns while Devin Voisin has 207 receiving yards. Three more Jaguars have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Blayne Myrick has a team-high 37 total tackles while Jaden Voisin has a team-high 2 interceptions. As a unit, South Alabama’s defense has combined for 4 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this year.

Why the South Alabama Jaguars will win

• South Alabama has won each of its last five games against Arkansas State.
• Arkansas State has lost each of its last seven October games as a home underdog.
• Arkansas State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The favorite has covered the spread in four of South Alabama’s last five games at Centennial Bank Stadium.

Arkansas State Recap

The Arkansas State Red Wolves come into this one looking to rebound from back-to-back road losses thanks to a 52-7 loss to Iowa State last time out, falling to 2-2 on the year as a result. After this game, Arkansas State begins a road trip with a date in San Marcos against Texas State.

Red Wolves Trying To Right The Ship

Jaylen Raynor has thrown for 780 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions on 53.9% passing while Timmy McClain has 132 passing yards and 3 touchdowns. Raynor has rushed for 143 yards and 2 touchdowns while Zak Wallace has 134 rushing yards and 2 TDs of his own this season. Corey Rucker has a team-high 17 receptions for 265 yards and 2 touchdowns while Courtney Jackson and Reagan Ealy each have 100+ receiving yards for Arkansas State as well this season. On defense, Justin Parks and Marvin Ham each have a team-high 31 total tackles while Jayden Jones has a pair of sacks, and Dontay Joyner and Trevian Thomas each have a pair of interceptions.

Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win

• Arkansas State has won three of its last four games as a home underdog.
• South Alabama has lost 28 of its last 36 road games against conference opponents.
• The underdog has covered the spread in nine of Arkansas State’s last 10 games.
• South Alabama has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last nine October road games against non-AP-ranked teams.

South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Prediction

I’m on the over here. This should be a track meet with both sides having an edge over the opposing defense. South Alabama can’t stop the pass, and the Red Wolves pass the ball at a top-25 rate nationally. On the other side, Arkansas State’s defensive strength is stopping the pass and the Jaguars run the ball really well. Give me the over here.