Texas State vs Troy Prediction College Football Picks 10/3/24

The Texas State Bobcats and Troy Trojans meet Thursday in Week 6 college football action at Veterans Memorial Stadium. Here’s a Texas State vs Troy Prediction. This article will include a Texas State vs Troy Pick.

Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview

The Texas State Bobcats are coming off losses to Arizona State and Sam Houston, and they play Arkansas State next. Texas State has lost 3 straight road games. Jordan McCloud is completing 69.3 percent of his passes for 1,141 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Jaden Williams and Joey Hobert have combined for 557 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Chris Dawn Jr. has 13 receptions.

The Texas State Bobcats ground game is averaging 157.8 yards per contest, and Ismail Mahdi leads the way with 307 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Texas State is allowing 27 points and 340.5 yards per game. Jordan Polk leads the Texas State Bobcats with 26 tackles, Ben Bell has 3.5 sacks and Bobby Crosby has 1 interception.

Troy Trojans Betting Preview

The Troy Trojans beat Florida A&M, lost to UL Monroe, and play South Alabama next. Troy has won 6 of its last 8 home games. Goose Crowder is completing 69.8 percent of his passes for 546 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Devonte Ross and Zeriah Beason have combined for 647 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Peyton Higgins has 15 receptions.

The Troy Trojans ground game is averaging 145.8 yards per contest, and Damien Taylor leads the way with 336 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Troy is allowing 25.8 points and 363.4 yards per game. Jordan Stringer leads the Troy Trojans with 33 tackles, Julian Peterson has 1 sack and Justin Powe has 1 interception.

Why the Texas State Bobcats will win

• Troy has lost five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Troy’s last six games in October has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Texas State’s last five October games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Troy ranks T110th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (3.4).
• Troy ranks T110th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (4.0).
• Texas State ranks T122nd among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (9.3).
• Texas State ranks T19th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (2.5).

Texas State vs Troy Prediction

I’m interested to see how the Texas State Bobcats respond after blowing a 22-point first-quarter lead against Sam Houston. I’d expect a ticked-off performance, as Texas State was the favorite to win the Sun Belt before last week. The Troy Trojans just aren’t a good team, as the defense can’t stop the run and the offense has issues as well. If Texas State is as good as we originally thought and last week was just a blip on the radar, this game shouldn’t be close. I’ll lay the points with Texas State.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Texas State -13.5