Texas State vs Troy Prediction College Football Picks 10/3/24

Troy Trojans Betting Preview

The Troy Trojans beat Florida A&M, lost to UL Monroe, and play South Alabama next. Troy has won 6 of its last 8 home games. Goose Crowder is completing 69.8 percent of his passes for 546 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Devonte Ross and Zeriah Beason have combined for 647 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Peyton Higgins has 15 receptions.

The Troy Trojans ground game is averaging 145.8 yards per contest, and Damien Taylor leads the way with 336 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Troy is allowing 25.8 points and 363.4 yards per game. Jordan Stringer leads the Troy Trojans with 33 tackles, Julian Peterson has 1 sack and Justin Powe has 1 interception.

Why the Texas State Bobcats will win

• Troy has lost five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Troy's last six games in October has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Texas State's last five October games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Troy ranks T110th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (3.4).
• Troy ranks T110th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (4.0).
• Texas State ranks T122nd among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (9.3).
• Texas State ranks T19th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (2.5).

Texas State vs Troy Prediction

I'm interested to see how the Texas State Bobcats respond after blowing a 22-point first-quarter lead against Sam Houston. I'd expect a ticked-off performance, as Texas State was the favorite to win the Sun Belt before last week. The Troy Trojans just aren't a good team, as the defense can't stop the run and the offense has issues as well. If Texas State is as good as we originally thought and last week was just a blip on the radar, this game shouldn't be close. I'll lay the points with Texas State.