Kansas vs Arizona State Prediction College Football Picks 10/5/24

Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview

The Arizona State Sun Devils are 3-1 (0-1) this year after they lost to Texas Tech by a score of 30-22 in their last game. Arizona State trailed 17-10 at halftime and could never get the lead back in the second half. The Sun Devils outgained Texas Tech by a total of 376-334, lost the turnover battle 1-0, and went 5-13 on third down in the game. Sam Leavitt threw for 282 yards and one interception, while Cam Skattebo rushed for 60 yards and two scores on 18 carries. 

Arizona State had started its season with three straight wins over Wyoming, Mississippi State, and Texas State. The ASU offense has scored 32.8 points per game with 213.8 passing yards and 195.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22 points per game this year. The Sun Devils have gone 42.4% on third down and 5-9 on fourth down through four games. Sam Leavitt has completed 59.1% of his passes for 855 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Cam Skattebo has rushed for 433 yards and five scores. 

Why Kansas will cover

• Arizona State has lost six of its last seven home games against conference opponents.
• The underdog has covered the spread in four of Kansas' last five games.
• Arizona State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five October games as a favorite.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Kansas' last eight October games as a road underdog has gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of Arizona State's last five home games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Arizona State ranks T20th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (12.8).
• Arizona State ranks T22nd among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (9.3).
• Kansas ranks 117th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (9.0).
• Kansas ranks T114th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (4.0).

Kansas vs Arizona State Prediction 

Kansas comes into this matchup facing a must-win situation, as they have lost their first two conference games of the season. The Jayhawks have had chances to win all four of their previous games, but they have come up short in all four of them. Arizona State lost their first conference game against Texas Tech, but they are coming off of a bye week. The Sun Devils have a great rushing attack with Skattebo, but I don’t think they have the firepower to keep up with Kansas. I know the Jayhawks have been pretty bad at finishing games, but I like them with the points here.