Missouri vs Texas A&M Prediction College Football Picks 10/5/24

The Missouri Tigers and the Texas A&M Aggies meet Saturday in college football action from Kyle Field. Here’s a Missouri vs Texas A&M prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Missouri vs Texas A&M pick. We will examine:

The Missouri Tigers’ recent form and player performance

The Texas A&M Aggies’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Missouri Tigers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas A&M Aggies

Recent betting trends in games played between Missouri and Texas A&M

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Missouri vs Texas A&M game

Missouri Tigers Betting Preview

The Tigers’ season kicked off in dominant fashion with a pair of blowout wins. Missouri demolished Murray State 51-0 in the opener, then took out Buffalo 38-0. Game three was much closer but still a win 27-21 versus Boston College.

In their fourth outing of the year back on September 21, the Tigers played another close one versus Vanderbilt. Missouri was down by three at the break but fought back to eventually win 30-27 in overtime. QB Brady Cook logged 226 yards and two scores. Nate Noel led the rush with 24 carries for 199 yards.

Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview

Over on the Aggies’ side, they took a loss to Notre Dame 23-13 in their opener. Texas A&M would follow that up with a string of wins 52-10 over McNeese State, 33-20 versus Florida and 26-20 over Bowling Green.

Matched up against Arkansas last weekend, the Aggies were all tied up 14-14 going into the fourth quarter and eventually eked out the win 21-17. QB Marcel Reed logged 163 yards with two scores, and Le’Veon Moss rushed 13 times for 117 yards.

Why the Texas A&M Aggies will win

• Texas A&M has won three of its last four games against top-10 AP-ranked teams at Kyle Field.
• Missouri has lost 12 of its last 15 October games against AP-ranked teams.
• Missouri has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six road openers as an underdog.
• The team ranked 25th in the AP Poll has covered the spread in four of its last five games.

Why the Missouri Tigers will win

• Missouri has won 10 of its last 11 games.
• Texas A&M has lost eight of its last nine games against AP-ranked teams.
• Texas A&M has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games.
• Missouri has covered the spread in each of its last four games as an underdog.

Total Points Facts

• Nine of Texas A&M’s last 10 home games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of Missouri’s last six October games as a road underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.

Missouri vs Texas A&M Prediction

I’m going with Missouri. The Tigers had some trouble dispatching Vanderbilt in their last outing, eventually notching 442 total yards (226 passing) and 22 first downs in the overtime win. Defensively the Tigers gave up 324 yards (178 passing) 15 first downs and 4-of-14 on third-down tries but had zero takeaways.

As for Texas A&M, last weekend they mustered a tepid 297 yards of offense with 4-of-13 on third-down tries versus Arkansas but it was good enough to win. The Aggies’ three takeaways and 5-of-15 allowed on third downs—along with the Razorbacks’ 10 penalties—helped quite a bit as well. That said, I think Missouri can hang around well enough to cover here if the Tigers limit mistakes.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Texas A&M Aggies -4.5