Alabama vs Vanderbilt Prediction College Football Picks 10/5/24

Vanderbilt (2-2) vs Alabama (4-0)

Game Info: Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 4:15 pm (FirstBank Stadium)

Betting Odds: Vanderbilt +23.5 / Alabama -23.5 --- Over/Under: 55.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Alabama Crimson Tide and Vanderbilt Commodores meet Saturday in week 6 college football action at FirstBank Stadium. Here’s an Alabama vs Vanderbilt Prediction. This article will include an Alabama vs Vanderbilt Pick.

Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview

The Alabama Crimson Tide recently beat Wisconsin and Georgia, and they play South Carolina next. Alabama looks for its eighth 5-0 start in the last 9 years. Jalen Milroe is completing 72.9 percent of his passes for 964 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Ryan Williams and Germie Bernard have combined for 612 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Kobe Prentice has 7 receptions.

The Alabama Crimson Tide ground game is averaging 221.8 yards per contest, and Milroe leads the way with 273 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Alabama is allowing 15 points and 315.8 yards per game. Jihaad Campbell leads the Alabama Crimson Tide with 32 tackles, Que Robinson has 3.5 sacks and Keon Sabb has 2 interceptions.

Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview

The Vanderbilt Commodores are coming off losses to Georgia State and Missouri, and they play Kentucky next. The Vanderbilt Commodores have won their last 2 home games. Diego Pavia is completing 63.5 percent of his passes for 721 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Eli Stowers and Quincy Skinner Jr. have combined for 352 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Junior Sherrill has 7 receptions.

The Vanderbilt Commodores ground game is averaging 169.8 yards per contest, and Pavia leads the way with 279 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Vanderbilt is allowing 23.3 points and 334 yards per game. Langston Patterson leads the Vanderbilt Commodores with 29 tackles, Khordae Sydnor has 2 sacks and Glenn Seabrooks III has 1 interception.

Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win

Alabama has won each of its last 12 games against conference opponents.
Vanderbilt has lost each of its last 10 games in October.
Vanderbilt has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games against top-5 AP-ranked teams.
Alabama has covered the spread in four of its last five games as a road favorite.
Alabama has won the first half in three of its last four road games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

Seven of Alabama's last eight road games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Seven of Vanderbilt's last eight home games have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

Vanderbilt ranks T19th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (2.5).
Vanderbilt ranks 21st among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (3.8).
Alabama ranks 5th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (26.8).
Alabama ranks T6th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (12.5).

Alabama vs Vanderbilt Prediction

Possible letdown spot for the Alabama Crimson Tide after such an emotionally draining game against Georgia. We know Alabama can blow the doors off from talent alone, but this is a tough road spot to regroup and get back to business. The Vanderbilt Commodores are also better than people give credit, as they have a playmaker at quarterback, and it's helped produce solid results, including nearly upsetting Missouri. Vanderbilt is 3-1 ATS on the year and has covered 5 of its last 8 games as underdogs of 20 or more points.