Purdue vs Wisconsin Prediction College Football Picks 10/5/24

The Purdue Boilermakers and the Wisconsin Badgers meet Saturday in college football action from Camp Randall Stadium. Here’s a Purdue vs Wisconsin prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Purdue vs Wisconsin pick. We will examine:

The Purdue Boilermakers’ recent form and player performance

The Wisconsin Badgers’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Purdue Boilermakers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Wisconsin Badgers

Recent betting trends in games played between Purdue vs Wisconsin

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Purdue vs Wisconsin game

Purdue Boilermakers Betting Preview

Purdue got off to a pretty easy start this year, demolishing Indiana State 49-0. The next week the Boilermakers came back to reality with a 66-7 blowout loss to Notre Dame, then fell to Oregon State 38-21 in game three.

Last weekend versus Nebraska, Purdue played close until the fourth quarter where they were outscored 21-7 in a 28-10 loss. QB Hudson Card finished with 174 yards, one TD, and one interception. Leading receiver Jaron Tibbs logged five catches for 46 yards.

Wisconsin Badgers Betting Preview

Over on the Wisconsin side, they posted a couple of victories to start out the season. The Badgers beat Western Michigan 28-14 then took care of South Dakota 27-13. On September 14 Wisconsin fell in a blowout to Alabama for their first defeat of the year.

In the USC game, the Badgers actually had a 21-10 lead going into the third quarter. Wisconsin was spanked in the second half 28-0 however, and lost 38-21. Braedyn Locke posted 180 pass yards, one TD, and one interception in the defeat. Tawee Walker rushed 12 times for 55 yards and two scores.

Why the Wisconsin Badgers will win

• Purdue has lost each of its last four games in October.
• Wisconsin has won each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Purdue has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The favorite has covered the spread in five of Purdue’s last six games.

Why the Purdue Boilermakers will win

• Wisconsin has lost three of its last four games against conference opponents at Camp Randall Stadium.
• Wisconsin has failed to cover the spread in each of its last nine home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Purdue has covered the spread in 15 of its last 18 October games as a road underdog.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Wisconsin’s last four games as a favorite against Purdue has gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of Purdue’s last six games as an underdog against Wisconsin have gone OVER the total points line.

Purdue vs Wisconsin Prediction

I’m leaning toward Wisconsin, but I could probably go either way. The Badgers couldn’t muster much offensive prowess in their loss to USC over the weekend. Wisconsin came up with 286 total yards (180 passing), 13 first downs, 2-of-12 on third- and fourth-down tries, seven penalties, and two turnovers. On defense, the Badgers got three takeaways but also gave up 29 first downs with 11-of-17 on third-down tries and 40:07 in time of possession.

As for Purdue, they could post only 224 yards (174 passing) and 12 first downs versus Nebraska in their loss last weekend. The 13 penalties for a whopping 165 yards didn’t help either, but it was a sloppy game overall (Nebraska had 11 penalties for 94 yards). This one should be a pretty interesting matchup, but I like the Badgers to cover at home.