Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State Prediction 11/29/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Middle Tennessee State vs New Mexico State Prediction for this College Football Week 14 game on Saturday, November 29th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

New Mexico State Aggies Preview

New Mexico State has a 4-7 record this season and is sitting 9th in the CUSA. They are 5-5 ATS, 3-7 in Over/Under and have a 3-2 home record and a 0-5 away record. New Mexico State is coming off a 34-31 road win against UTEP.

Offensively, New Mexico State averages 21.4 points per game, ranking 113th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 27.3 points per game, which is 84th. New Mexico State averages 321.8 total yards per game (245.2 passing and 76.6 rushing), while allowing 396.6 total yards per game (161.9 rushing and 234.7 passing).

Logan Fife leads New Mexico State with 2,240 passing yards with 56.4% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Dijon Stanley leads the team in rushing yards with 293, while Donovan Faupel has a team-high 61 receptions for 661 receiving yards. Defensively, Naeten Mitchell has a team-high 85 total tackles (53 of them solo), while Ezra Christensen leads the team in sacks, with 6, and Bernock Iya has a team-high 4 interceptions.

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders Preview

Middle Tennessee State has a 2-9 record this season and is sitting 10th in the CUSA. They are 4-6 ATS, 5-5 in Over/Under and have a 0-5 home record and a 1-4 away record. Middle Tennessee State is coming off a 31-17 home win against Sam Houston.

Offensively, Middle Tennessee State averages 21.6 points per game, ranking 111th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 31.5 points per game, which is 118th. Middle Tennessee State averages 363.6 total yards per game (266.6 passing and 97 rushing), while allowing 399.7 total yards per game (148.5 rushing and 251.2 passing).

Nicholas Vattiato leads Middle Tennessee State with 2,150 passing yards with 61.2% completed passes and 16 touchdowns. Jekail Middlebrook leads the team in rushing yards with 657, while Nahzae Cox has a team-high 40 receptions for 473 receiving yards. Defensively, Parker Hughes has a team-high 87 total tackles (45 of them solo), while Brandon Buckner leads the team in sacks, with 5, and Juwon Gaston, Parker Hughes have a team-high 2 interceptions each.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders @ New Mexico State Aggies Betting Trends: Week 14

Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win

• Middle Tennessee has lost 10 of its last 11 road games against conference opponents.
• The favorite has won seven of Middle Tennessee’s last eight games.
• Middle Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven road games in November.
• New Mexico State has covered the spread in six of its last seven home games in November.
• Middle Tennessee has lost the first half in nine of its last 10 games against conference opponents.

Why the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will win

• New Mexico State has lost five of its last six games.
• The underdog has covered the spread in seven of New Mexico State’s last eight games at Aggie Memorial Stadium.
• New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games as a favorite.

Total Points Facts

• Each of New Mexico State’s last five home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of Middle Tennessee’s last five games in November have gone OVER the total points line.

New Mexico State Aggies Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 14, Bernock Iya ranks T10th amongst FBS players for interceptions (4) this season.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 14, Jekail Middlebrook is one of only 15 players in the FBS to record 3+ rushing and 3+ receiving TDs this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• New Mexico State has overturned the largest 1st quarter deficit to win a game this season – 21 points vs UTEP.
• New Mexico State ranks 135th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (76.5).
• Middle Tennessee ranks 133rd among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (10.1).
• Middle Tennessee ranks 130th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (97.0).

Middle Tennessee State vs New Mexico State Prediction

In this Middle Tennessee State vs New Mexico State Prediction, New Mexico State is coming as -4-point home favorites. Middle Tennessee State has been terrible this season, having won only twice and have been ineffective on the road. But both teams are coming into this matchup in poor form and have almost identical offensive numbers and New Mexico State has been slightly better defensively, so I like the value with the guests to keep this one close. Take Middle Tennessee State and the +4 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Middle Tennessee State +4