Kansas State vs Kansas Prediction 10/25/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate a Kansas State vs Kansas prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 25th at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium in Lawrence, Kansas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 9 matchup. 

Kansas State Wildcats Betting Preview

The Kansas State Wildcats are 3-4 (2-2) this year after they defeated TCU by a score of 41-28 in their last game. Kansas State led 14-7 at halftime and managed 27 points in the second half for the nice win. The Wildcats were out gained by a total of 448-343, went 7-16 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 3-0 in the game. Avery Johnson went 16-26 for 198 yards and three touchdowns, while Joe Jackson rushed 27 times for 110 yards. Garrett Oakley led the receivers with four catches for 71 yards and two scores in the win. The KSU defense recorded one sack and three tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Kansas State lost to Baylor by a score of 35-34, but did beat UCF by a score of 34-20 before that. The Wildcats have won two of their last three games and they are currently tied for sixth in the Big 12 standings. Kansas State has scored 29.4 points per game with 223.0 passing yards and 143.6 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 27.0 points against per game this season. Avery Johnson has thrown for 1,561 yards, 13 touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Jayce Brown has 32 receptions for 417 yards and three scores this year. 

Kansas Jayhawks Betting Preview

The Kansas Jayhawks are 4-3 (2-2) this season after they lost to Texas Tech by a score of 42-17 in their last game. Kansas trailed 21-17 at halftime, but they were shutout in the second half for the loss. The Jayhawks were out gained by a total of 505-319, went 6-17 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Jalon Daniels went 27-33 for 255 yards and two touchdowns, while Daniel Hishaw Jr. rushed eight times for 53 yards. Cam Pickett led the receivers with six catches for 82 yards in the loss. The KU defense recorded one sack and five tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Kansas defeated UCF by a score of 27-20, but did lose to Cincinnati by a score of 37-34 before that. The Jayhawks have alternated wins and losses over their last six games and they are currently tied for sixth in the Big 12 standings. Kansas has scored 32.4 points per game with 263.3 passing yards and 155.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 23.6 points against per game this season. Jalon Daniels has thrown for 1,752 yards, 18 touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Emmanuel Henderson Jr has caught 31 passes for 530 yards and four scores this season. 

Why the Kansas Jayhawks will win

Kansas State has lost each of its last four road games against conference opponents.
Kansas has won six of its last seven home games.
Kansas has covered the spread in five of its last six home games in October.
Kansas State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last nine road games against conference opponents.

Why the Kansas State Wildcats will win

Kansas State has won seven of its last eight October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Kansas State has covered the spread in each of its last four games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

Each of Kansas State’s last six games as an underdog in Kansas have gone OVER the total points line.
Each of Kansas’ last five home games against teams from Kansas have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

Kansas ranks T127th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (95.5).
Kansas ranks 125th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (31.7).
Kansas State has won the third quarter in each of its last six games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
Kansas State ranks 133rd among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (10.3).

Kansas State vs Kansas Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this contest with a 2-2 conference record, so this is a huge game for both sides. Kansas has been very inconsistent in their first seven games, but they do play better at home. Kansas State started the season very poorly, but they have improved in their last three games and the offense is starting to click. I think this game is a toss up, but this Kansas defense is simply not good and allows way too many yards. Take the over here. 

David Racey is 80-61 (57%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!