Florida State vs NC State Prediction 11/21/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Florida State vs NC State Prediction for this College Football Week 13 game on Friday, November 21st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

NC State Wolfpack Preview

NC State has a 5-5 record this season and is sitting 12th in the ACC. They are 4-6 ATS, 6-4 in Over/Under and have a 4-1 home record and a 1-4 away record. NC State is coming off a 7-41 road loss against Miami (FL) and will face North Carolina next.

Offensively, NC State averages 29.9 points per game, ranking 56th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 31.6 points per game, which is 118th. NC State averages 409.0 total yards per game (262.0 passing and 147.0 rushing), while allowing 440.4 total yards per game (140.5 rushing and 299.9 passing).

CJ Bailey leads NC State with 2,531 passing yards with 69.4% completed passes and 19 touchdowns. Daylan Smothers leads the team in rushing yards with 823, while Justin Joly has a team-high 37 receptions for 372 receiving yards. Defensively, Caden Fordham has a team-high 103 total tackles (47 of them solo), while Sabastian Harsh leads the team in sacks, with 2.5.

Florida State Seminoles Preview

Florida State has a 5-5 record this season and is sitting 15th in the ACC. They are 5-5 ATS, 5-5 in Over/Under and have a 5-2 home record and a 0-3 away record. Florida State is coming off a 34-14 home win against Virginia Tech and will face Florida next.

Offensively, Florida State averages 36.4 points per game, ranking 17th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 20.3 points per game, which is 25th. Florida State averages 487.5 total yards per game (259.8 passing and 227.7 rushing), while allowing 322.0 total yards per game (125.1 rushing and 196.9 passing).

Thomas Castellanos leads Florida State with 2,317 passing yards with 59.0% completed passes and 12 touchdowns. Gavin Sawchuk leads the team in rushing yards with 444, while Duce Robinson has a team-high 49 receptions for 947 receiving yards. Defensively, Earl Little has a team-high 63 total tackles (28 of them solo), while Mandrell Desir leads the team in sacks, with 5, and Earl Little has a team-high 4 interceptions.

Florida State Seminoles @ NC State Wolfpack Betting Trends: Week 13

NC State Wolfpack Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 13, Hollywood Smothers ranks T15th amongst qualified players for catch rate (85.7%) this season.

Florida State Seminoles Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 13, Micahi Danzy ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (22.7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• NC State ranks 136th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (299.9).
• NC State ranks 127th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (440.4).
• Florida State has recorded the largest margin of victory of any FBS team this season (74-points vs East Texas A&M on September 6, 2025).
• Florida State has recorded the largest margin of victory in a home game this season (74-points vs East Texas A&M on September 6, 2025).

Florida State vs NC State Prediction

In this Florida State vs NC State Prediction, Florida State is coming as -4.5-point road favorites, with the total set at 61.5 points. Both teams have identical overall records this season but NC State is 4-1 at home, while Florida State has been winless on the road this season. The total is set at a big 61.5 number, but both teams are allowing 51.9 points per game combined and are 5-0 to the under in their last 5 games combined. Take the under 61.5 in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 61.5