Iowa State vs Miami-FL Prediction College Football Picks 12/28/24

Miami-FL (10-2) vs Iowa State (10-3)

Game Info: Saturday, December 28, 2024 at 3:30 pm (Camping World Stadium)

Betting Odds: Miami-FL -3.5 / Iowa State +3.5 --- Over/Under: 56.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Iowa State Cyclones and Miami Hurricanes meet Saturday in the college football Pop-Tarts Bowl at Camping World Stadium. Here’s a Iowa State vs Miami-FL Prediction. This article will include a Iowa State vs Miami-FL Pick.

Iowa State Cyclones Betting Preview

The Iowa State Cyclones recently beat Utah and Kansas State, while losing to Arizona State. Iowa State has won 4 of its last 6 non-home games. Rocco Becht is completing 59.3 percent of his passes for 3,235 yards, 22 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel have combined for 2,260 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns, while Gabe Burkle has 22 receptions.

The Iowa State Cyclones ground game is averaging 161.7 yards per contest, and Carson Hansen leads the way with 670 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Iowa State is allowing 21.5 points and 340.8 yards per game. Beau Freyler leads the Iowa State Cyclones with 82 tackles, JR Singleton has 4 sacks and Jontez Williams has 4 interceptions.

Miami Hurricanes Betting Preview

The Miami Hurricanes recently beat Wake Forest, while losing to Georgia Tech and Syracuse. The Miami Hurricanes have won 4 of their last 6 non-home games. Cam Ward is completing 67.4 percent of his passes for 4,123 yards, 36 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Xavier Restrepo and Jacoby George have combined for 1,855 receiving yards and 18 touchdowns, while Isaiah Horton has 56 receptions.

The Miami Hurricanes ground game is averaging 179 yards per contest, and Damien Martinez leads the way with 823 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 23.9 points and 319.8 yards per game. Francisco Mauigoa leads the Miami Hurricanes with 88 tackles, Tyler Baron has 5.5 sacks and Mishael Powell has 5 interceptions.

Why the Miami Hurricanes will win

  • Iowa State has lost each of its last five December games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Miami (FL) has won each of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
  • Iowa State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games as an underdog against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in three of Iowa State's last four Bowl games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Iowa State's last six December games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Four of Miami (FL)'s last five games against AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Miami (FL) ranks 1st among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (24.3).
  • Miami (FL) ranks 1st among FBS teams for yards per game this season (538.3).
  • Iowa State ranks 3rd among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+5.9).
  • Iowa State ranks 7th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (10.2).

Iowa State vs Miami-FL Prediction

From a talent standpoint, the Miami Hurricanes should make light work of Iowa State. This is also a home game for Miami, as it's only a four-hour car ride. The problem is Miami felt like it was a playoff team and title contender, and losses to Georgia Tech and Syracuse ended those dreams. I'm not sure Miami is interested in this game. Miami is also 1-11 SU in its last 12 bowl games. The Iowa State Cyclones are returning a large number of key players from this squad, and building on momentum is important. I'm also not thrilled with Miami's defense, and Iowa State is top-50 in total and scoring offense. Should be a fun back and forth. I'll grab the points with the Cyclones.

Randy’s Pick Iowa State +3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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