Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt Prediction College Football Picks 12/27/24

Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview

The Vanderbilt Commodores are 6-6 (3-5) this season after they lost to Tennessee by a score of 36-23 in their last game. Vanderbilt led 17-7 after the first quarter, but they allowed the next 29 points in the loss. The Commodores were outgained by a total of 538-212, won the turnover battle 2-1, and went 4-10 on third down in the game. Diego Pavia threw for 104 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Sedrick Alexander rushed for 60 yards and one score in the game. 

Vanderbilt has also lost to LSU, South Carolina, Texas, Missouri, and Georgia State, while picking up wins against Virginia Tech, Alcorn State, Alabama, Kentucky, Ball State, and Auburn. The Vanderbilt offense has scored 26.8 points per game with 180.2 passing yards and 139.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 23.1 points per game this season. Diego Pavia has completed 59.2% of his passes for 2,133 yards, 17 touchdowns, and four interceptions, while also rushing for 716 yards and six scores this year. 

Why Vanderbilt will beat Georgia Tech

• Georgia Tech has lost seven of its last eight games after coming off overtime.
• Vanderbilt has won three of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
• The underdog has covered the spread in eight of Vanderbilt's last 10 games.
• Georgia Tech has failed to cover the spread in 17 of its last 22 games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why Georgia Tech will beat Vanderbilt

• Vanderbilt has lost four of its last five games against opponents from the Atlantic Coast Conference.
• The favorite has won eight of Georgia Tech's last nine games.
• Georgia Tech has covered the spread in four of its last five games against non-conference opponents at neutral venues.
• Vanderbilt has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three December games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Georgia Tech's last six games against non-AP-ranked teams at neutral venues has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of Vanderbilt's last eight games against opponents from the Atlantic Coast Conference have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Vanderbilt ranks 117th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (180.2).
• Vanderbilt ranks 116th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (3.9).
• Georgia Tech ranks 24th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (+3.3).
• Georgia Tech ranks T26th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (218).

Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt Prediction 

Vanderbilt was a great story in the middle of the season, but they have lost three games in a row and the offense has been inconsistent. The Commodores did face some very tough competition down the stretch, but they will need to find more offense here. Georgia Tech won two of their last three games, but they have to be disappointed that they failed to close out Georgia to finish the season. The Yellow Jackets have a very solid offensive attack, which is led by Haynes King, but their defense is a concern. This should be a very entertaining bowl game, but I am going to take the over, as I like both quarterbacks being able to run and pass.