Georgia Southern vs Sam Houston Prediction College Football Picks 12/19/24

Sam Houston (9-3) vs Georgia Southern (8-4)

Game Info: Thursday, December 19, 2024 at 7:00 pm (Caesars Superdome)

Betting Odds: Sam Houston +6 / Georgia Southern -6 --- Over/Under: 48.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN2

In this article we will formulate a Georgia Southern vs Sam Houston prediction for this College Football game on Thursday, December 19th at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for the New Orleans Bowl. 

Sam Houston Bearkats Betting Preview

The Sam Houston Bearkats are 9-3 (6-2) this year and they finished tied for second in the C-USA standings. Sam Houston finished the regular season with a 20-18 win over Liberty last time out. Sam Houston also has wins over Kennesaw State, Louisiana Tech, FIU, UTEP, Texas State, New Mexico State, Hawaii, and Rice. The Bearkats did lose to UCF, Western Kentucky, and Jacksonville State, but they won four of their last five games to end the season. 

The Sam Houston offense has scored 23.2 points per game with 164.4 passing yards and 190.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 20 points against per game this season. Hunter Watson has completed 60.1% of his passes for 1,598 yards, 11 touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while Jay Ducker (transfer portal) has rushed for 719 yards and seven scores. Sam Houston does have quite a few players in the transfer portal with the departure of their head coach, but it does sound like at least some of those players will play in this game. 

Georgia Southern Eagles Betting Preview

The Georgia Southern Eagles are 8-4 (6-2) this season and they finished second in the Sun Belt East standings. Georgia Southern finished the regular season with a win over Appalachian State by a score of 29-20. The Eagles also have wins against Coastal Carolina, South Alabama, James Madison, Marshall, Georgia State, South Carolina State, and Nevada. Georgia Southern does have four losses against Troy, Old Dominion, Ole Miss, and Boise State, but they did win six of their last eight games. 

The Georgia Southern offense has scored 28.3 points per game with 239.9 passing yards and 123.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 27.3 points against per game this season. JC French has completed 66% of his passes for 2,619 yards, 16 touchdowns, and seven interceptions, while Jalen White has rushed for 654 yards and 12 scores this year. There hasn’t been much news on the transfer portal for Georgia Southern, but I think we will get more information as the game approaches. 

Why Georgia Southern will beat Sam Houston

  • Georgia Southern has won six of its last eight games.
  • Sam Houston State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Georgia Southern has covered the spread in nine of its last 12 games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Sam Houston State's last six games have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Five of Georgia Southern's last six games against non-conference opponents at neutral venues have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Sam Houston State ranks 10th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (174.1).
  • Sam Houston State ranks T124th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (72.2).
  • Georgia Southern ranks T10th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (71.4).
  • Georgia Southern ranks 11th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (36.8).

Georgia Southern vs Sam Houston Prediction 

Sam Houston had a very strong season in CUSA this year, but they came up just short in the race for the regular season title. The Bearkats only scored 20 regulation points in one of their last five games, but their defense was very good, as they allowed 18, 21, 17, 3, and 7 points in their last five. Georgia Southern also just missed out in their conference race, but their offense was very efficient down the stretch. The Eagles have scored 26+ points in three of their last four games, while their defense was also decent over that span. I think Sam Houston has the better defense in this matchup, but I trust the Georgia Southern offense way more. Take the Eagles in this game. 

David’s Pick Georgia Southern -6

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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