North Texas vs Temple Prediction College Football Picks 11/30/24

Pick details

Temple (3-8) vs North Texas (5-6)

November 30, 2024 at 12:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Temple +11.5 / North Texas -11.5 — Over/Under: 63.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The North Texas Mean Green and the Temple Owls meet Saturday in college football action from Lincoln Financial Field. Here’s a North Texas vs Temple prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best North Texas vs Temple pick. We will examine:

The North Texas Mean Green’s recent form and player performance

The Temple Owls’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the North Texas Mean Green

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Temple Owls

Recent betting trends in games played between North Texas and Temple

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the North Texas vs Temple game

North Texas Mean Green Betting Preview

The Mean Green’s season began on a 5-1 run with wins over South Alabama, Stephen F. Austin, Wyoming, Tulsa, and Florida Atlantic. North Texas would lose the next four versus Memphis, Tulane, Army, and UTSA, however.

In their matchup with East Carolina on Saturday, the Mean Green were looking pretty good until the third quarter, when they gave up 24 points in an eventual 40-28 loss. Chandler Morris threw for 266 yards and three scores. Shane Porter led the rush on 17 carries for 74 yards.

Temple Owls Betting Preview

Over on the Temple side, they lost five of their first six games versus Oklahoma, Navy, Coastal Carolina, Army, and UConn before finally getting another win over Tulsa. Temple is 1-3 in their last four with losses to East Carolina, Tulane, and UTSA.

Back on Friday against UTSA, Temple held a 28-17 deficit by the break and eventually lost big 51-27. Evan Simon threw for 212 yards, two scores, and two picks. Dante Wright caught both touchdowns among his five grabs for 128 yards to lead the receivers.

Why the Temple Owls will win

  • The home team has won seven of Temple’s last eight games.
  • North Texas has lost each of its last five games against conference opponents.
  • North Texas has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games against conference opponents.
  • The home team has covered the spread in nine of Temple’s last 11 games.

Why the North Texas Mean Green will win

  • The favorite has won 39 of Temple’s last 42 games.
  • Temple has lost 15 of its last 18 games in November.
  • Temple has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four November games as an underdog.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in six of Temple’s last seven games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of North Texas’ last five road games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of Temple’s last five November games as a home underdog against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.

North Texas vs Temple Prediction

I’ll lean toward Temple. Probably not touching this one, though. The Owls are coming off a bad loss to a decent UTSA team, posting just 13 first downs, three turnovers, and an ugly 2-of-15 success rate on third-down tries. Defensively Temple had three takeaways and was good on third downs (3-of-13) but also gave up 309 rushing yards. The Owls have 27 or more points in two of the last four games, but they’re also prone to severe offensive droughts.

As for North Texas, on Saturday they gave up 553 yards (255 rushing), 6.8 yards per play, and 26 first downs. The Green’s loss would have been even worse if it weren’t for ECU’s 13 penalties and two turnovers. North Texas is riding a five-game losing streak, but they’ve hit 27 or more points in four of those outings. Temple needs to get the offense going if they’re going to hit a cover pace. I think the Owls are capable of it, but I’m staying away.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Temple Owls +11.5

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