Kansas vs Baylor Prediction College Football Picks 11/30/24

Baylor (7-4) vs Kansas (5-6)

Game Info: Saturday, November 30, 2024 at 12:00 pm (McLane Stadium)

Betting Odds: Baylor +1.5 / Kansas -1.5 --- Over/Under: 61.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Kansas Jayhawks and Baylor Bears meet Saturday in week 14 college football action at McLane Stadium. Here’s a Kansas vs Baylor Prediction. This article will include a Kansas vs Baylor Pick.

Kansas Jayhawks Betting Preview

The Kansas Jayhawks beat BYU and Colorado. Kansas has lost 4 of its last 5 road games. Jalon Daniels is completing 57.4 percent of his passes for 2,174 yards, 14 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions. Luke Grimm and Quentin Skinner have combined for 1,097 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, while Lawrence Arnold has 25 receptions.

The Kansas Jayhawks’ ground game is averaging 212.2 yards per contest, and Devin Neal leads the way with 1,133 yards and 15 touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas is allowing 24.3 points and 374.6 yards per game. JB Brown leads the Kansas Jayhawks with 66 tackles, Dean Miller has 6 sacks and Mello Dotson has 5 interceptions.

Baylor Bears Betting Preview

The Baylor Bears beat West Virginia and Houston. Baylor has won 4 of its last 5 home games. Sawyer Robertson is completing 61.5 percent of his passes for 2,316 yards, 22 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Josh Cameron and Ashtyn Hawkins have combined for 1,040 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, while Michael Trigg has 30 receptions.

The Baylor Bears ground game is averaging 179 yards per contest, and Bryson Washington leads the way with 812 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Baylor is allowing 26 points and 372.9 yards per game. Keaton Thomas leads the Baylor Bears with 97 tackles, Matt Jones has 4 sacks and Corey Gordon Jr. has 3 interceptions.

Why the Kansas Jayhawks will win

  • Baylor has lost eight of its last 10 home games against conference opponents.
  • Kansas has won four of its last five games.
  • Kansas has covered the spread in eight of its last nine November road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Baylor has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five November games as an underdog.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of Baylor's last eight games have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Three of Kansas' last four games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Baylor ranks 21st among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (9.2).
  • Baylor ranks 21st among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+4.1).
  • Kansas ranks T10th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (71.4).
  • Kansas ranks T13th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (3.4).

Kansas vs Baylor Prediction

The Baylor Bears and the points at home are worth a look as they've been racking up wins all of a sudden. However, Kansas has simply played the better ball against better competition, which includes upsetting Colorado last week. Kansas also needs a win to become bowl-eligible. I just don't trust Baylor's defense that's 75th in total defense and 77th in scoring defense to get the stops against a confident Kansas group with a dual threat. I'll lay the small number with the Jayhawks on the road.

Randy’s Pick Kansas -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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