Miami-OH vs Bowling Green Prediction College Football Picks 11/29/24

Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview

The Bowling Green Falcons are 7-4 (6-1) this season after they defeated Ball State by a score of 38-13 in their last game. Bowling Green led 10-7 at the half, but they scored the next 21 points to pull away for the win. The Falcons outgained Ball State by a total of 362-254, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 7-17 on third down in the game. Connor Bazelak threw for 255 yards and two touchdowns, while Harold Fanning Jr. caught nine passes for 125 yards and one score. 

Prior to that game, the Falcons won four games in a row against Western Michigan, Central Michigan, Toledo, and Kent State. The BG offense has scored 27.1 points per game with 222.6 passing yards and 157.9 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 20.2 points per game this season. Connor Bazelak has completed 68.2% of his passes for 2,198 yards, 13 touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Terion Stewart has rushed for 824 yards and six scores. 

Why Miami (OH) will beat Bowling Green

• Miami (OH) has won each of its last eight November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Miami (OH) has covered the spread in four of its last five games against Bowling Green.
• Bowling Green has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four home games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Bowling Green's last six games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of Miami (OH)'s last seven games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Bowling Green ranks 20th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (9.0).
• Bowling Green ranks 20th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (31:55).
• Miami (OH) ranks 13th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (17.8).
• Miami (OH) ranks 13th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (8.5).

Miami-OH vs Bowling Green Prediction 

These two teams come into this matchup with 6-1 records in conference play and the winner of this game will go to the MAC Championship game in Detroit. Miami has played fantastic defense in recent games, as they have allowed nine points or fewer in three of their last four games. The RedHawks have won six games in a row, but they will be on the road here. Bowling Green has won four games in a row and they have allowed 13 points or fewer in three of their last four games. This should be a great game between two very good defenses, but I think Bowling Green is going to really struggle to get points. Take the RedHawks to get the win.