Western Kentucky vs Liberty Prediction College Football Picks 11/23/24

Liberty (7-2) vs WKU (7-3)

Game Info: Saturday, November 23, 2024 at 1:00 pm (Williams Stadium)

Betting Odds: Liberty -1.5 / WKU +1.5 --- Over/Under: 59.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and Liberty Flames meet Saturday in week 13 college football action at Williams Stadium. Here’s a Western Kentucky vs Liberty Prediction. This article will include a Western Kentucky vs Liberty Pick.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Betting Preview

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers beat New Mexico State, lost to LA Tech, and they play Jacksonville State next. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have won 3 of their last 4 road games. Caden Veltkamp is completing 69.9 percent of his passes for 2,102 yards, 19 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Kisean Johnson and Easton Messer have combined for 1,190 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while KD Hutchinson has 14 receptions.

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers ground game is averaging 121.5 yards per contest, and Elijah Young leads the way with 587 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Western Kentucky is allowing 21.1 points and 372.1 yards per game. Devonte' Mathews leads the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers with 53 tackles, Darius Thomas has 4 sacks and Anthony Johnson Jr. has 2 interceptions.

Liberty Flames Betting Preview

The Liberty Flames beat Middle Tennessee and UMASS, and they play Sam Houston next. The Liberty Flames have won 3 of their last 4 home games. Kaidon Salter is completing 60 percent of his passes for 1,695 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Treon Sibley and Elijah Canion have combined for 782 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Tyson Mobley has 26 receptions.

The Liberty Flames ground game is averaging 249.8 yards per contest, and Quinton Cooley leads the way with 998 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Liberty is allowing 23.9 points and 350.3 yards per game. Joseph Carter leads the Liberty Flames with 68 tackles, TJ Bush Jr. has 5.5 sacks and Dexter Ricks Jr. has 2 interceptions.

Why the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers will win

  • Western Kentucky has won seven of its last eight road games in November.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in each of Western Kentucky's last four games.
  • Liberty has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last 10 games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Western Kentucky's last three games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Three of Liberty's last four November home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Liberty ranks 13th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (47.4).
  • Liberty ranks 16th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+4.3).
  • Western Kentucky ranks 19th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (8.7).
  • Western Kentucky ranks T19th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (4.5).

Western Kentucky vs Liberty Prediction

The Liberty Flames are going to get the benefit of the doubt because they're at home, but an argument can be made that Western Kentucky is the better team. Western Kentucky will also be eager to redeem itself after pooping the bed against LA Tech. The Liberty Flames are also 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games, Liberty is also 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games as a favorite. Give me the Hilltoppers and the points in a game they probably win outright. 

Randy’s Pick WKU +1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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