Illinois vs Rutgers Prediction College Football Picks 11/23/24

Rutgers (6-4) vs Illinois (7-3)

Game Info: Saturday, November 23, 2024 at 12:00 pm (SHI Stadium)

Betting Odds: Rutgers +1 / Illinois -1 --- Over/Under: 47.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article, we will formulate an Illinois vs Rutgers prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 23rd at SHI Stadium in Piscataway, New Jersey. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 13 matchup. 

Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Preview

The Illinois Fighting Illini are 7-3 (4-3) this year after they defeated Michigan State by a score of 38-16 in their last game. Illinois led 21-9 at the half, but that lead was cut to 21-16 in the third before they pulled away for the win. The Fighting Illini outgained MSU by a total of 370-345, tied the turnover battle at zero, and went 8-15 on third down in the game. Luke Altmyer threw for 231 yards and two touchdowns, while Pat Bryant caught four passes for 135 yards and one score. 

Prior to that win, the Fighting Illini lost to Minnesota by a score of 25-17 and Oregon by a score of 38-9. The Illinois offense has scored 28.3 points per game with 215.3 passing yards and 142 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 20.6 points per game this season. Luke Altmyer has completed 62.4% of his passes for 2,124 yards, 18 touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Josh McCray has rushed for 391 yards and seven scores. 

Rutgers Scarlet Knights Betting Preview

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are 6-4 (3-4) this season after they defeated Maryland by a score of 31-17 in their last game. Rutgers trailed 17-14 in the third quarter, but they scored the final 17 points in the game for the win. The Scarlet Knights were outgained by a total of 457-375, won the turnover battle 1-0, and went 6-14 on third down in the game. Athan Kaliakmanis threw for 238 yards and two touchdowns, while Kyle Monangai rushed for 97 yards and two scores. 

Prior to that game, the Scarlet Knights defeated Minnesota by a score of 26-19, but they did lose the previous four games. The Rutgers offense has scored 27.5 points per game with 212.8 passing yards and 169.4 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 23.4 points per game this season. Athan Kaliakmanis has completed 55.1% of his passes for 2,128 yards, 14 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Kyle Monangai has rushed for 1,028 yards and 12 touchdowns this year. 

Why Illinois will beat Rutgers

  • Rutgers has lost 13 of its last 14 November games at SHI Stadium.
  • Illinois has won four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Rutgers has failed to cover the spread in each of its last nine games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
  • Illinois has covered the spread in each of its last seven November road games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Rutgers' last eight November games at SHI Stadium has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Seven of Illinois' last eight November games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Rutgers ranks T27th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+3.1).
  • Rutgers ranks 108th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (44.0).
  • Illinois ranks T30th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (4.1).
  • Illinois ranks 31st among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (44.4).

Illinois vs Rutgers Prediction 

Illinois was able to snap their two-game losing streak with a dominant win over Michigan State last week, but they will be on the road for this game. Rutgers has won two games in a row with wins over Maryland and Minnesota, and they are now bowl-eligible. The Scarlet Knights have scored 31 and 26 points in their last two games, which is big for a team that is inconsistent on offense. I think Illinois was able to find some much-needed confidence last week and I think that rolls over into this game. Take the Fighting Illini on the road. 

David’s Pick Illinois ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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