Purdue vs Michigan State Prediction College Football Picks 11/22/24

The Purdue Boilermakers and the Michigan State Spartans meet in week 12 college football action from Spartan Stadium on Friday night. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Purdue vs. Michigan State prediction.

Purdue Recap

The Purdue Boilermakers will be out to salvage something after a 49-10 loss at the hands of Penn State last time out. After this game, Purdue will head on the road to take on Indiana to close out the year.

Boilermakers Drop 9th Straight

Hudson Card has thrown for 1,264 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions on 59.6% passing Ryan Browne has thrown for 513 yards, 4 touchdowns, and a pick on 58.8% passing while Devin Mockobee has 652 rushing yards and Reggie Love III has 370 rushing yards as well on the year. Max Klare leads Purdue’s receiving group with 39 receptions for 566 yards and 3 touchdowns while Jahmal Edrine and Jaron Tibbs each have 200+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Dillon Thieneman has a team-high 83 total tackles including 56 solo tackles while Kydran Jenkins has 69 total tackles including 5.5 sacks. Will Heldt also has 5 sacks and Kyndrich Breedlove also has 3 interceptions as well on the year. As a unit, Purdue’s defense has combined for 18 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season.

Why the Purdue Boilermakers will win

• Purdue has won four of its last six November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Michigan State has lost six of its last seven games.
• Michigan State has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven November games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Purdue has covered the spread in five of its last six November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.

Michigan State Recap

The Michigan State Spartans come into this one looking to bounce back from a 38-16 loss to Illinois last time out. After this game, Michigan State will head home for their regular-season finale against Rutgers.

Sparty Loses 3rd Straight

Aidan Chiles has thrown for 2,106 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions on 61% passing while Kay’Ron Lynch-Adams has a team-high 495 rushing yards and Nate Carter has 437 rushing yards as well on the year. Nick Marsh has a team-high 611 receiving yards along with 3 TDs while Montorie Foster Jr. has a team-high 42 receptions for 529 yards. Jack Veiling also has 323 receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Jordan Turner has a team-high 57 total tackles along with 3 sacks while Khris Bogle has 3 sacks as well and Charles Brantley has 3 interceptions. As a unit, Michigan State’s defense has combined for 15 sacks and 8 interceptions on the year.

Why the Michigan State Spartans will win

• Purdue has lost each of its last nine games.
• Michigan State has won each of its last four home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Purdue has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games.
• The favorite has covered the spread in eight of Purdue’s last 10 games.

Purdue vs. Michigan State Prediction

I’m on the under here. I know Sparty needs the win to secure bowl eligibility, but I just don’t know if I can trust Michigan State’s offense to do damage, even against this sieve of a Purdue defense. On the other side, Purdue is just awful and it wouldn’t surprise me in the slightest if they struggled here as well. Give me the under.