Charlotte vs Florida Atlantic Prediction College Football Picks 11/23/24

Florida Atlantic Owls Betting Preview

The Florida Atlantic Owls are 2-8 (0-6) this season after they lost to Temple in overtime by a score of 18-15 in their last game. Florida Atlantic trailed 15-7 in the fourth quarter, but they tied the game up with 34 seconds left, before losing in overtime. The Owls were outgained by a total of 348-317, tied the turnover battle at zero, and went 3-14 on third down in the game. Kasen Weisman threw for 123 yards, while CJ Campbell Jr. rushed for 70 yards and two scores. 

Prior to that game, the Owls lost four games in a row against East Carolina, South Florida, UTSA, and North Texas. The FAU offense has scored 22.1 points per game with 203 passing yards and 161.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 30.8 points per game this season. The Florida Atlantic quarterback situation is up in the air, but CJ Campbell Jr. has led the ground game with 594 yards and 10 scores. 

Why Florida Atlantic will cover

• Charlotte has lost each of its last four games in November.
• Florida Atlantic has won six of its last seven games against Charlotte.
• Charlotte has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games as a favorite.
• Florida Atlantic has covered the spread in four of its last five games against Charlotte.

Why Charlotte will cover

• Florida Atlantic has lost each of its last nine games in November.
• The favorite has won 11 of Florida Atlantic's last 12 games.
• Florida Atlantic has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The road team has covered the spread in five of the last six games between Charlotte and Florida Atlantic.

Total Points Facts

• Ten of Florida Atlantic's last 12 November games at FAU Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of Charlotte's last six road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Florida Atlantic ranks 131st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (68.4).
• Florida Atlantic ranks 127th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (72.2).
• Charlotte is one of only three FBS teams with a 100% success rate on field goals and extra points this season.
• Charlotte ranks 131st among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (-6.8).

Charlotte vs Florida Atlantic Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup with lengthy losing streaks, but FAU will have the home-field advantage. The Owls did go to overtime with Temple last week, but they allowed 38+ points in the four games prior to that. Charlotte has allowed 33+ points in four straight games, so both defensive units have been bad. I really don’t like either team in this matchup, but I do think we will see plenty of points with two defenses that can’t get stopped. Take the over.