Auburn (3-6) vs Louisiana-Monroe (5-3)
Game Info: Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 12:45 pm (Pat Dye Field at Jordan-Hare Stadium)
Betting Odds: Auburn -23.5 / Louisiana-Monroe +23.5 --- Over/Under: 44.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The UL Monroe Warhawks and Auburn Tigers meet Saturday in week 12 college football action at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Here’s a Louisiana-Monroe vs Auburn Prediction. This article will include a Louisiana-Monroe vs Auburn Pick.
UL Monroe Warhawks Betting Preview
The UL Monroe Warhawks lost to Marshall and Texas State, and they play Arkansas State next. The UL Monroe Warhawks have lost 3 of their last 4 road games. Aidan Armenta is completing 57.4 percent of his passes for 898 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Davon Wells and Jake Godfrey have combined for 431 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Javon Campbell has 8 receptions.
The UL Monroe Warhawks ground game is averaging 174.9 yards per contest, and Ahmad Hardy leads the way with 915 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, UL Monroe is allowing 25.8 points and 371.7 yards per game. Wydett Williams Jr. leads the UL Monroe Warhawks with 74 tackles, Billy Pullen has 5 sacks and Car’lin Vigers has 1 interception.
Auburn Tigers Betting Preview
The Auburn Tigers beat Kentucky, lost to Vanderbilt, and they play Texas A&M next. Auburn has lost 3 straight home games. Payton Thorne is completing 62.9 percent of his passes for 1,825 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. KeAndre Lambert-Smith and Malcolm Simmons have combined for 1,006 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Cam Coleman has 15 receptions.
The Auburn Tigers ground game is averaging 168.6 yards per contest, and Jarquez Hunter leads the way with 913 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Auburn is allowing 19.2 points and 314.9 yards per game. Dorian Mausi Jr. leads the Auburn Tigers with 58 tackles, Keldric Faulk has 7 sacks and Kayin Lee has 2 interceptions.
Why the Auburn Tigers will win
- Louisiana-Monroe has lost each of its last 16 road games against opponents from the Southeastern Conference.
- Auburn has won 34 of its last 42 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Jordan-Hare Stadium.
- Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Louisiana-Monroe's last four November games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
- Ten of Auburn's last 12 November home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Auburn ranks 10th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (70.4).
- Auburn ranks T12th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (151).
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks 4th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (95.0).
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks T129th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (136).
Louisiana-Monroe vs Auburn Prediction
The Auburn Tigers are obviously the deeper, more talented team, but they've lost 3 straight games at home and have an offense that can't finish drives. Auburn has outright lost its last 3 games as a favorite. The UL Monroe Warhawks become bowl-eligible with a win, so this isn't a group that's going to lay down. Auburn is also 3-5 ATS in its last 8 games as a favorite of 20 or more points. One of those failed covers was an outright loss. I don't love UL Monroe, but this is a fade of Auburn in this spot.
Randy’s Pick Louisiana-Monroe +23.5
AUTHOR: Randy Chambers
