Murray State vs Kentucky Prediction College Football Picks 11/16/24

The Murray State Racers and the Kentucky Wildcats meet in week 12 college football action from Kroger Field on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Murray State vs. Kentucky prediction.

Murray State Recap

The Murray State Racers come into this one with a record of 1-9 on the year after a 59-31 loss to Missouri State last time out. After this game, Murray State will finish the season against Southern Illinois.

Racers Struggling To Finish

Jayden Johannsen has thrown for 1,405 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions on 56.3% passing while Jawaun Northington has 457 rushing yards with 6 TDs and Q’Daryius Jennings has 388 rushing yards and a pair of scores. J’Kalon Carter leads the Racers in receiving with 31 grabs for 368 yards while Justice Hill has 22 receptions for 319 yards and 2 scores. On defense, Tyson Meiguez has a team-high 54 total tackles while Dareon Goodrum has a team-high 3 sacks.

Why the Murray State Racers will win

• Kentucky has lost each of its last four games.
• The road team has covered the spread in four of Kentucky’s last five games.
• Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Kentucky Recap

The Kentucky Wildcats come into this one looking to bounce back after a 28-18 loss to Tennessee last time out. After this game, the Wildcats will face off against Texas on the road.

Wildcats Trying To Salvage Rest Of Season

Brock Vandagriff has thrown for 1,359 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions on 57.3% passing while Demie Sumo-Karngbaye has 457 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns as well. Jamarion Wilcox also has 351 rushing yards as well on the year. Dane Key leads Kentucky’s receiving group with 41 receptions for 630 yards while Barion Brown has 307 receiving yards and 3 TD grabs for Kentucky. On defense, Jamon Dumas-Johnson has a team-high 54 total tackles and 3.5 sacks. J.J. Weaver also has 5 sacks as part of Kentucky’s 22 sacks this season while the Wildcat defense has 7 interceptions as well on the year.

Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win

• Kentucky has won each of its last 19 games against non-conference opponents at Kroger Field.
• Kentucky has covered the spread in each of its last four completed games against non-conference opponents.

Murray State vs. Kentucky Prediction

I’m on the under here. Kentucky likely wins this game because Murray State’s been brutal in FCS play this season, but while the Racers have given up a ton of points, I’m not sure the Wildcats can do enough to get us up and over this total on their own. There are much better options out there on Saturday, but I’ll lean under here.