Central Michigan vs Toledo Prediction College Football Picks 11/12/24

Toledo (6-3) vs Central Michigan (3-6)

Game Info: Tuesday, November 12, 2024 at 7:00 pm (Glass Bowl)

Betting Odds: Toledo -14.5 / Central Michigan +14.5 --- Over/Under: 48.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Central Michigan Chippewas and Toledo Rockets meet Tuesday in week 12 college football action at Glass Bowl. Here’s a Central Michigan vs Toledo Prediction. This article will include a Central Michigan vs Toledo Pick.

Central Michigan Chippewas Betting Preview

The Central Michigan Chippewas lost to Miami (OH) and Bowling Green, and they play Western Michigan next. Central Michigan has lost 8 straight road games. Joe Labas is completing 58.8 percent of his passes for 1,114 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Chris Parker and Evan Boyd have combined for 610 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Solomon Davis has 14 receptions.

The Central Michigan Chippewas ground game is averaging 184.7 yards per contest, and Marion Lukes leads the way with 537 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Central Michigan is allowing 31.2 points and 394.2 yards per game. Jordan Kwiatkowski leads the Central Michigan Chippewas with 74 tackles, Jason Williams has 3.5 sacks and Aakeem Snell has 1 interception.

Toledo Rockets Betting Preview

The Toledo Rockets lost to Bowling Green, beat Eastern Michigan, and they play Ohio next. The Toledo Rockets have won 9 of their last 10 home games. Tucker Gleason is completing 61.4 percent of his passes for 1,896 yards, 18 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Jerjuan Newton and Junior Vandeross III have combined for 1,411 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns, while Anthony Torres has 18 receptions.

The Toledo Rockets ground game is averaging 118.9 yards per contest, and Connor Walendzak leads the way with 363 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Toledo is allowing 22.3 points and 365.3 yards per game. Maxen Hook leads the Toledo Rockets with 83 tackles, D'Andre Ragin has 2.5 sacks and Braden Awls has 3 interceptions.

Why the Toledo Rockets will win

  • Central Michigan has lost each of its last eight road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Toledo has won nine of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Glass Bowl.
  • Central Michigan has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 road games against conference opponents.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in seven of the last nine games between Central Michigan and Toledo.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Central Michigan's last six November games as a road underdog has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Seven of Toledo's last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams at Glass Bowl have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Toledo ranks 116th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (75.7).
  • Toledo ranks 107th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (118.9).
  • Central Michigan ranks T125th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-3.9).
  • Central Michigan ranks T13th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (93.1).

Central Michigan vs Toledo Prediction

The Central Michigan Chippewas don't play defense, can't finish drives offensively, and Toledo is simply the better team on both sides of the ball. However, Toledo is 1-3 ATS as a double-digit favorite this season and has failed to cover 10 of its last 15 games as a double-digit favorite overall. Toledo has dominated this series, and the favorite has covered 8 of the last 10 meetings. I'm still not laying double-digit chalk, given the Rockets' struggles to cover these massive numbers. Give me Central Michigan and the points.

Randy’s Pick Central Michigan +14.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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