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West Virginia vs Cincinnati Prediction College Football Picks 11/9/24
Pick details
Cincinnati (5-3) vs West Virginia (4-4)
November 9, 2024 at 12:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati -4.5 / West Virginia +4.5 — Over/Under: 55.5
The West Virginia Mountaineers and Cincinnati Bearcats meet Saturday in week 11 college football action at Nippert Stadium. Here’s a West Virginia vs Cincinnati Prediction. This article will include a West Virginia vs Cincinnati Pick.
West Virginia Mountaineers Betting Preview
The West Virginia Mountaineers lost to Kansas State, beat Arizona, and they play Baylor next. West Virginia has won its last 2 road games. Garrett Greene is completing 56.3 percent of his passes for 1,352 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. Hudson Clement and Traylon Ray have combined for 749 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Kole Taylor has 25 receptions.
The West Virginia Mountaineers ground game is averaging 203.8 yards per contest, and Jaheim White leads the way with 508 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, West Virginia is allowing 28.4 points and 384.4 yards per game. Josiah Trotter leads the West Virginia Mountaineers with 58 tackles, T.J. Jackson has 4.5 sacks and Tyrin Bradley Jr. has 1 interception.
Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Bearcats beat Arizona State, lost to Colorado, and they play Iowa State next. The Cincinnati Bearcats have won 3 of their last 4 home games. Brendan Sorsby is completing 65.6 percent of his passes for 2,108 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Xzavier Henderson and Joe Royer have combined for 990 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Tony Johnson has 28 receptions.
The Cincinnati Bearcats ground game is averaging 172.3 yards per contest, and Corey Kiner leads the way with 692 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 21.1 points and 402.5 yards per game. Jake Golday leads the Cincinnati Bearcats with 45 tackles, Jared Bartlett has 5.5 sacks and Josh Minkins has 2 interceptions.
Why the Cincinnati Bearcats will win
- Cincinnati has won each of its last 18 November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- West Virginia has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five November road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Cincinnati has covered the spread in each of its last three games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Cincinnati’s last four games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of West Virginia’s last seven road games have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Cincinnati ranks 9th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (+6.1).
- Cincinnati ranks T14th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (72.7).
- West Virginia ranks 118th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (10.4).
- West Virginia ranks T117th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (3).
West Virginia vs Cincinnati Prediction
West Virginia and Cincinnati both have ups and downs this season, and you can make a case for either side with the rest advantages. I still lean toward Cincinnati because of the defense. While West Virginia and Cincinnati give up a ton of yards, it’s the Bearcats that don’t break. West Virginia is 83rd in total defense and 95th in scoring defense. Cincinnati is 102nd in total defense and 36th in scoring defense. Give me Cincinnati by a touchdown.
