Colorado vs Texas Tech Prediction College Football Picks 11/9/24

Pick details

Texas Tech (6-3) vs Colorado (6-2)

November 9, 2024 at 04:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Texas Tech +3.5 / Colorado -3.5 — Over/Under: 62.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Colorado Buffaloes and the Texas Tech Red Raiders meet Saturday in college football action from Jones AT&T Stadium. Here’s a Colorado vs Texas Tech prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Colorado vs Texas Tech pick. We will examine:

The Colorado Buffaloes’ recent form and player performance

The Texas Tech Red Raiders’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Colorado Buffaloes

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas Tech Red Raiders

Recent betting trends in games played between Colorado and Texas Tech

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Colorado vs Texas Tech game

Colorado Buffaloes Betting Preview

The Buffaloes managed a 4-2 run over their first six games this year. The losses were to Nebraska and Kansas State; otherwise, it was wins over North Dakota State, Colorado State, Baylor, and UCF. Colorado has beaten Arizona and Cincinnati in their last pair.

On October 26 versus Cincinnati, the Buffaloes took a 24-14 edge into the second half. After a 10-9 run from there, Colorado took the win 34-23. QB Shedeur Sanders threw for 323 yards with two scores (and a rush TD) while Travis Hunter led the receivers on 153 yards and two TDs off nine grabs.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview

Over on the Texas Tech side, their season kicked off with a 5-1 run. Outside of a loss to Washington State, the Raiders beat Abilene Christian, North Texas, Arizona State, Cincinnati, and Arizona. Next came losses to Baylor and TCU, though.

On Saturday versus Iowa State, the Raiders outscored the Cyclones 13-9 in the second half on the way to a wild upset win 23-22. QB Behren Morton threw for 237 yards, two scores, and two picks. Tahj Brooks led the rush on 25 carries for 122 yards and a score.

Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win

  • Colorado has lost 12 of its last 13 road games in November.
  • Texas Tech has won seven of its last eight games in November.
  • Texas Tech has covered the spread in four of its last five games as an underdog.
  • Colorado has failed to cover the spread in 10 of its last 13 road games in November.

Why the Colorado Buffaloes will win

  • The team ranked 21st in the AP Poll has won six of its last seven games.
  • Texas Tech has lost 14 of its last 17 games against AP-ranked teams at Jones AT&T Stadium.
  • Colorado has covered the spread in each of its last six games against conference opponents.
  • Texas Tech has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against AP-ranked teams at Jones AT&T Stadium.

Total Points Facts

  • Five of Texas Tech’s last six November games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Four of Colorado’s last five road games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Texas Tech ranks 131st among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (17.9).
  • Texas Tech ranks 129th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (462.1).
  • Colorado ranks T7th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (6.5).
  • Colorado ranks 8th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (323.9).

Colorado vs Texas Tech Prediction

I’m going to just stay with Colorado. The Buffaloes are coming off another good offensive outing in their win over Cincinnati. Colorado managed 446 yards (323 passing), 25 first downs, and 7-of-13 on third-down tries. On defense the Buffaloes held the Bearcats to 3-of-10 on third downs—the nine Cincinnati penalties didn’t hurt, either.

As for Texas Tech, they’re riding high after a big win over Iowa State. The Raiders shot themselves in the foot with 10 penalties and a couple of interceptions but did a great job on defense keeping the Cyclones in check. That makes consecutive games decided by one point for the Raiders, and I think this one will be pretty close as well. Should be a good matchup.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Colorado Buffaloes -3.5

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