Arizona State (6-2) vs UCF (4-5)
Game Info: Saturday, November 9, 2024 at 7:00 pm (Mountain America Stadium)
Betting Odds: Arizona State -3 / UCF +3 --- Over/Under: 56.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The UCF Knights and Arizona State Sun Devils meet Saturday in week 11 college football action at Mountain America Stadium. Here’s a UCF vs Arizona State Prediction. This article will include a UCF vs Arizona State Pick.
UCF Knights Betting Preview
The UCF Knights lost to BYU, beat Arizona, and they play West Virginia next. UCF lost 2 of its last 3 road games. KJ Jefferson is completing 59.3 percent of his passes for 1,012 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Kobe Hudson and Randy Pittman Jr. have combined for 833 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Jacoby Jones has 13 receptions.
The UCF Knights ground game is averaging 272.3 yards per contest, and RJ Harvey leads the way with 1,201 yards and 16 touchdowns. Defensively, UCF is allowing 25.4 points and 366 yards per game. Ethan Barr leads the UCF Knights with 47 tackles, Malachi Lawrence has 4 sacks and Deshawn Pace has 2 interceptions.
Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview
The Arizona State Sun Devils beat Oklahoma State, lost to Cincinnati, and they play Kansas State next. Arizona State has won 4 straight home games. Sam Leavitt is completing 60.8 percent of his passes for 1,470 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Jordan Tyson and Cam Skattebo have combined for 962 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Chamon Metayer has 19 receptions.
The Arizona State Sun Devils ground game is averaging 210.4 yards per contest, and Skattebo leads the way with 1,001 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Arizona State is allowing 22.9 points and 321.4 yards per game. Myles Rowser leads the Arizona State Sun Devils with 63 tackles, Clayton Smith has 4 sacks and Caleb McCullough has 2 interceptions.
Why the Arizona State Sun Devils will win
- Arizona State has won each of its last 11 November games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- UCF has lost four of its last five games against conference opponents.
- Arizona State has covered the spread in each of its last four home games.
- UCF has failed to cover the spread in six of its last eight November road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Four of UCF's last five games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of Arizona State's last five home games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Arizona State ranks T25th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (3.9).
- Arizona State ranks 25th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (31:45).
- UCF ranks 7th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (214).
- UCF ranks 126th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (93.5).
UCF vs Arizona State Prediction
The UCF Knights finally got back on track with a blowout win over Arizona, but we can't ignore losses in 5 of their last 6 games. UCF has taken a step backward defensively and the offense just hasn't been as consistent as it was earlier in the season. The Arizona State Sun Devils are far and away the more balanced team, and they're 6-2 ATS on the season. Arizona State is 4-0 ATS this season as a favorite and has won those games by an average of 18.2 points. I'll lay the field goal with the Sun Devils at home.
Randy’s Pick Arizona State -3
AUTHOR: Randy Chambers
Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter @WizardOf0dds