UNLV vs Hawaii Prediction College Football Picks 11/9/24

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UNLV Rebels

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

Recent betting trends in games played between UNLV and Hawaii

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the UNLV vs Hawaii game

UNLV Rebels Betting Preview

UNLV’s season kicked off with a 4-0 run featuring wins over Houston, Utah Tech, Kansas, and Fresno State. The Rebels would go 2-2 in the next four games with losses to Syracuse and Boise State around wins versus Utah State and Oregon State.

Back on October 25 versus Boise State, UNLV was outscored 6-0 in the fourth quarter during a tough loss of 29-24. QB Hajj-Malik Williams logged 179 pass yards with two TDs and a pick while also leading the rush with 19 carries for 105 yards and another score.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Betting Preview

Over on the Hawaii side, they went 2-2 over their first quartet with wins versus Delaware State and Northern Iowa around losses to UCLA and Sam Houston. The Warriors would lose their next three to San Diego State, Boise State, and Washington State before another win over Nevada.

In last weekend’s Fresno State matchup, the Warriors were in trouble with a 20-7 deficit after the third quarter. Hawaii scored two unanswered touchdowns though, and won 21-20. QB Brayden Schager threw for 244 yards, three scores, and a pick. Tylan Hines led the rush with 66 yards on 12 carries.

Why the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will win

• Hawaii has won four of its last five November games as a home underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Hawaii has covered the spread in seven of its last eight November home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• UNLV has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games.

Why the UNLV Rebels will win

• UNLV has won each of its last six road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• UNLV has covered the spread in eight of its last nine road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Hawaii has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of Hawaii's last eight home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of UNLV's last six games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Hawaii ranks T120th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (71.4).
• Hawaii ranks 114th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (10.3).
• UNLV ranks 6th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (243.5).
• UNLV ranks 7th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (22.5).

UNLV vs Hawaii Prediction

I’m going with UNLV. The Rebels stood tall against a good Boise State team in their last outing but fell just short. UNLV mustered 367 total yards (188 rushing), 6.3 yards per play, and a tepid 5-of-13 on third downs in that one. The defense gave up 394 yards on the other side (209 passing) but did pretty well on third downs themselves (3-of-15). Even with the loss, the Rebels are scoring well these days with 24 or more points in five straight.

As for Hawaii, they’re coming off a dramatic fourth-quarter comeback against Fresno State. The Warriors held the Bulldogs to just 176 yards (157 passing) and 14 first downs along the way but did give up a couple of turnovers on offense. Hawaii has a much tougher task this weekend though, and I don’t think they’ll quite get there.