Connecticut vs UAB Prediction College Football Picks 11/9/24

In this article, we will formulate a Connecticut vs UAB prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 9th at Protective Stadium in Birmingham, Alabama. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 11 matchup. 

Connecticut Huskies Betting Preview

The Connecticut Huskies are 6-3 this season after they defeated Georgia State by a score of 34-27 in their last game. Connecticut led 13-10 at half and 34-13 in the fourth quarter, but the game got tight in the final minutes of the win. The Huskies were outgained by a total of 380-347, won the turnover battle 2-1, and went 5-11 on third down in the game. Nick Evers threw for 75 yards and one touchdown, while Mel Brown rushed for 138 yards and one score. 

Prior to that game, the Huskies defeated Rice by a score of 17-10 but did lose to Wake Forest before that. The UConn offense has scored 33.1 points per game with 204.8 passing yards and 201.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 21.1 points per game this season. Nick Evers has completed 52.9% of his passes for 814 yards, five touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Durell Robinson has rushed for 586 yards and six scores. 

UAB Blazers Betting Preview

The UAB Blazers are 2-6 (1-4) this year after they defeated Tulsa by a score of 59-21 in their last game. UAB led 45-7 at the half and they cruised to the easy win. The Blazers outgained Tulsa by a total of 537-423, won the turnover battle 2-0, and went 4-10 on third down in the game. Jalen Kitna threw for 404 yards and six touchdowns, while Kam Shanks caught five passes for 153 yards and three scores. 

Prior to that game, the Blazers lost six games in a row against South Florida, Army, Tulane, Navy, Arkansas, and ULM. The UAB offense has scored 31 points per game with 262.4 passing yards and 132 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 35.5 points per game this season. Jalen Kitna has completed 61.3% of his passes for 1,269 yards, 10 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Kam Shanks has caught 41 passes for 486 yards and four scores. 

Why Connecticut will cover

• UAB has lost each of its last eight games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The favorite has won 14 of Connecticut’s last 15 games.
• The favorite has covered the spread in 10 of UAB’s last 12 games at Protective Stadium.
• UAB has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games as a home underdog.

Total Points Facts

• Each of UAB’s last four November games as an underdog has gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Connecticut’s last three road games against opponents from the American Athletic Conference have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• UAB ranks T129th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (17.8).
• UAB ranks 127th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (9.1).
• Connecticut ranks 24th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (8.9).
• Connecticut ranks 111th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (34.6).

Connecticut vs UAB Prediction 

UAB comes into this matchup after snapping their losing streak with a huge win over Tulsa last week, but they have struggled for most of the season. Connecticut was able to gain bowl eligibility with a win over Georgia State last week and they have won four of their last five games. The Huskies have a very strong rushing attack and their defense has been solid over the last few weeks. I know UAB put up 59 points in their last game, but one solid game doesn’t fix a bad team. Take UConn on the road here. 

David Racey's Pick: Connecticut -6.5